Bread Financial Holdings, Inc.

LSE:0HCR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.1b

Bread Financial Holdings Valuation

Is 0HCR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0HCR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$92.75
Fair Value
32.1% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0HCR ($62.95) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($92.75)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0HCR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0HCR?

Key metric: As 0HCR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0HCR. This is calculated by dividing 0HCR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0HCR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.9x
EarningsUS$279.00m
Market CapUS$3.08b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0HCR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0HCR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.1x
IPF International Personal Finance
5.6x10.3%UK£274.9m
SUS S&U
10.4x21.7%UK£195.0m
0R4W Multitude
9.5x15.1%€105.2m
HAT H&T Group
7x6.7%UK£151.3m
0HCR Bread Financial Holdings
10.9x17.0%US$3.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0HCR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (8.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0HCR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Finance Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0HCR 10.9xIndustry Avg. 9.7xNo. of Companies8PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0HCR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the European Consumer Finance industry average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0HCR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0HCR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio21.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0HCR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0HCR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$62.95
US$70.29
+11.7%
16.4%US$88.00US$51.00n/a14
Feb ’26US$62.72
US$69.57
+10.9%
16.1%US$88.00US$51.00n/a14
Jan ’26US$61.46
US$62.08
+1.0%
24.1%US$88.00US$34.00n/a15
Dec ’25US$59.00
US$57.88
-1.9%
24.3%US$88.00US$34.00n/a15
Nov ’25US$50.85
US$53.88
+6.0%
23.2%US$88.00US$34.00n/a15
Oct ’25US$46.74
US$53.28
+14.0%
18.0%US$67.00US$35.00n/a15
Sep ’25US$58.32
US$54.94
-5.8%
17.2%US$67.00US$35.00n/a15
Aug ’25US$51.34
US$53.28
+3.8%
17.6%US$67.00US$35.00n/a15
Jul ’25US$44.98
US$42.86
-4.7%
24.7%US$67.00US$26.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$41.07
US$41.36
+0.7%
25.4%US$67.00US$26.00n/a14
May ’25US$36.40
US$37.21
+2.2%
15.1%US$48.00US$26.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$37.09
US$37.07
-0.05%
19.0%US$52.00US$27.00n/a14
Mar ’25US$38.17
US$37.07
-2.9%
19.0%US$52.00US$27.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$36.07
US$36.93
+2.4%
19.2%US$52.00US$25.00US$62.7215
Jan ’25US$33.25
US$34.62
+4.1%
23.5%US$53.00US$24.00US$61.4613
Dec ’24US$29.07
US$35.23
+21.2%
23.3%US$53.00US$24.00US$59.0013
Nov ’24US$26.35
US$37.67
+42.9%
23.0%US$53.00US$29.00US$50.8512
Oct ’24US$34.58
US$46.18
+33.6%
15.3%US$64.00US$37.00US$46.7411
Sep ’24US$38.70
US$46.45
+20.1%
15.1%US$64.00US$37.00US$58.3211
Aug ’24US$40.54
US$44.73
+10.3%
17.5%US$64.00US$34.00US$51.3411
Jul ’24US$31.59
US$39.09
+23.7%
25.6%US$64.00US$28.00US$44.9811
Jun ’24US$28.58
US$39.25
+37.3%
24.5%US$64.00US$28.00US$41.0712
May ’24US$28.89
US$40.50
+40.2%
24.4%US$64.00US$30.00US$36.4012
Apr ’24US$29.51
US$45.75
+55.1%
16.6%US$64.00US$35.00US$37.0912
Mar ’24US$41.31
US$53.54
+29.6%
36.5%US$116.00US$39.00US$38.1713
Feb ’24US$35.41
US$53.31
+50.5%
36.9%US$116.00US$39.00US$36.0713
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 14 Analysts
US$71.33
Fair Value
11.7% undervalued intrinsic discount
14
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/07 16:38
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/07 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Bread Financial Holdings, Inc. is covered by 46 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Kunaal MaldeAtlantic Equities LLP
Jeffrey MeulerBaird
Darrin PellerBarclays