Banca Mediolanum S.p.A.

BATS-CHIXE:BMEDM Stock Report

Market Cap: €8.2b

Banca Mediolanum Valuation

Is BMEDM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BMEDM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BMEDM (€11.63) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€12.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BMEDM is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BMEDM?

Key metric: As BMEDM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BMEDM. This is calculated by dividing BMEDM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BMEDM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.8x
Earnings€924.04m
Market Cap€8.16b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BMEDM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BMEDM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.5x
MNG M&G
28.2x28.5%UK£4.7b
WISE Wise
20.8x-6.5%UK£9.0b
HL. Hargreaves Lansdown
17.6x1.6%UK£5.2b
ICG Intermediate Capital Group
15.5x11.7%UK£6.2b
BMEDM Banca Mediolanum
8.8x-3.9%€8.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BMEDM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (20.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BMEDM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Diversified Financial Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NBS Nationwide Building Society
0.9xn/aUS$1.51b
No more companies available in this PE range
No. of Companies4PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BMEDM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the UK Diversified Financial industry average (13.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BMEDM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BMEDM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate BMEDM's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BMEDM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€12.85
0%
3.5%€13.50€12.00n/a12
Nov ’25€11.40
€12.65
+11.0%
4.4%€13.50€11.70n/a12
Oct ’25€11.20
€12.53
+11.9%
4.1%€13.50€11.70n/a12
Sep ’25n/a
€12.53
0%
4.1%€13.50€11.70n/a12
Aug ’25n/a
€12.23
0%
5.1%€13.50€10.90n/a12
Jul ’25€10.59
€12.15
+14.7%
4.6%€13.00€10.90n/a12
Jun ’25€10.52
€12.12
+15.2%
4.7%€13.00€10.90n/a12
May ’25n/a
€11.55
0%
5.5%€12.80€10.80n/a12
Apr ’25n/a
€11.38
0%
3.9%€12.00€10.80n/a12
Mar ’25n/a
€11.29
0%
3.6%€12.00€10.80n/a12
Feb ’25n/a
€10.88
0%
5.8%€11.80€9.50n/a12
Jan ’25n/a
€10.58
0%
6.3%€11.50€9.20n/a12
Dec ’24n/a
€10.60
0%
6.0%€11.50€9.20n/a12
Nov ’24n/a
€10.60
0%
6.0%€11.50€9.20€11.4012
Oct ’24€8.17
€10.69
+30.9%
5.4%€11.50€9.70€11.2012
Sep ’24n/a
€10.68
0%
5.4%€11.50€9.70n/a12
Aug ’24n/a
€10.71
0%
5.4%€11.50€9.70n/a12
Jul ’24n/a
€10.71
0%
4.4%€11.40€9.80€10.5912
Jun ’24n/a
€10.78
0%
5.0%€11.70€9.80€10.5212
May ’24n/a
€10.92
0%
4.3%€11.70€10.00n/a12
Apr ’24n/a
€10.96
0%
4.5%€11.70€10.00n/a12
Mar ’24€9.20
€10.96
+19.1%
4.5%€11.70€10.00n/a12
Feb ’24n/a
€9.80
0%
4.7%€10.60€9.10n/a11
Jan ’24€7.82
€9.72
+24.3%
4.4%€10.50€9.10n/a11
Dec ’23€7.87
€9.58
+21.8%
6.2%€10.50€8.60n/a11
Nov ’23n/a
€9.17
0%
4.2%€9.70€8.60n/a10

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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