Stock Analysis

H&T Group (LON:HAT) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

AIM:HAT
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The board of H&T Group plc (LON:HAT) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend by 25% on the 7th of October to £0.05, up from last year's comparable payment of £0.04. This takes the annual payment to 2.7% of the current stock price, which unfortunately is below what the industry is paying.

View our latest analysis for H&T Group

H&T Group's Dividend Is Well Covered By Earnings

The dividend yield is a little bit low, but sustainability of the payments is also an important part of evaluating an income stock. Based on the last payment, H&T Group's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. In general, we consider cash flow to be more important than earnings, so we would be cautious about relying on the sustainability of this dividend.

Analysts expect a massive rise in earnings per share in the next year. Assuming the dividend continues along recent trends, we think the payout ratio will be 21%, which makes us pretty comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
AIM:HAT Historic Dividend August 12th 2022

Dividend Volatility

The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of £0.108 in 2012 to the most recent total annual payment of £0.12. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 1.1% over that duration. It's encouraging to see some dividend growth, but the dividend has been cut at least once, and the size of the cut would eliminate most of the growth anyway, which makes this less attractive as an income investment.

Dividend Growth Is Doubtful

With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to see if earnings per share is growing. Over the past five years, it looks as though H&T Group's EPS has declined at around 5.1% a year. If the company is making less over time, it naturally follows that it will also have to pay out less in dividends. However, the next year is actually looking up, with earnings set to rise. We would just wait until it becomes a pattern before getting too excited.

H&T Group's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think H&T Group will make a great income stock. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've identified 3 warning signs for H&T Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing. Is H&T Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.