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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Argentex Group PLC's (LON:AGFX) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 37%
Argentex Group PLC (LON:AGFX) shares have had a horrible month, losing 37% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 57% loss during that time.
After such a large drop in price, Argentex Group may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.6x, since almost half of all companies in the United Kingdom have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 29x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
The earnings growth achieved at Argentex Group over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Argentex Group
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Argentex Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Argentex Group's Growth Trending?
Argentex Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 17% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 24% overall rise in EPS, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 11% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Argentex Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Key Takeaway
Having almost fallen off a cliff, Argentex Group's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Argentex Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Argentex Group (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About AIM:AGFX
Argentex Group
Provides bespoke currency risk management and payment solutions in the United Kingdom.
Flawless balance sheet and undervalued.