Stock Analysis

Would Shareholders Who Purchased Gym Group's (LON:GYM) Stock Year Be Happy With The Share price Today?

LSE:GYM
Source: Shutterstock

The Gym Group plc (LON:GYM) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 66% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the reality of under-performance over the last twelve months. In fact, the price has declined 26% in a year, falling short of the returns you could get by investing in an index fund.

See our latest analysis for Gym Group

Given that Gym Group didn't make a profit in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue growth to form a quick view of its business development. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally expect to see good revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one does expect good top-line growth.

Gym Group's revenue didn't grow at all in the last year. In fact, it fell 17%. That's not what investors generally want to see. Shareholders have seen the share price drop 26% in that time. That seems pretty reasonable given the lack of both profits and revenue growth. We think most holders must believe revenue growth will improve, or else costs will decline.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
LSE:GYM Earnings and Revenue Growth December 25th 2020

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. This free report showing analyst forecasts should help you form a view on Gym Group

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 7.4% in the twelve months, Gym Group shareholders did even worse, losing 26%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.9%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Gym Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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