Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Auction Technology Group plc's (LON:ATG) P/S

LSE:ATG
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When close to half the companies in the Consumer Services industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.8x, you may consider Auction Technology Group plc (LON:ATG) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for Auction Technology Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:ATG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

How Auction Technology Group Has Been Performing

There hasn't been much to differentiate Auction Technology Group's and the industry's revenue growth lately. It might be that many expect the mediocre revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Auction Technology Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Auction Technology Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Auction Technology Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 198% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 9.9% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 9.0% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Auction Technology Group's P/S is higher than its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Auction Technology Group currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. The fact that the revenue figures aren't setting the world alight has us doubtful that the company's elevated P/S can be sustainable for the long term. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Auction Technology Group that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Auction Technology Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.