Evolution AB (publ)

LSE:0RQ6 Stock Report

Market Cap: SEK 210.3b

Evolution Valuation

Is 0RQ6 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0RQ6 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0RQ6 (SEK1015.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK2208.81)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0RQ6 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0RQ6?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0RQ6 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue9.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.1x
PEG Ratio1.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0RQ6's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0RQ6 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.7x
PTEC Playtech
26.2x18.7%UK£2.3b
RNK Rank Group
33.7x35.7%UK£414.1m
IHG InterContinental Hotels Group
27.5x10.7%UK£13.1b
CPG Compass Group
31.4x12.1%UK£41.2b
0RQ6 Evolution
17x13.3%SEK 210.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0RQ6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the peer average (29.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0RQ6's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0RQ6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (23.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0RQ6's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0RQ6 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17x
Fair PE Ratio30.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0RQ6 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (30.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0RQ6 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentSEK 1,015.59
SEK 1,341.76
+32.1%
15.9%SEK 1,713.44SEK 887.78n/a15
Sep ’25SEK 1,066.50
SEK 1,350.25
+26.6%
16.1%SEK 1,728.19SEK 878.21n/a15
Aug ’25SEK 1,036.83
SEK 1,379.39
+33.0%
16.3%SEK 1,756.93SEK 892.81n/a15
Jul ’25SEK 1,105.50
SEK 1,462.40
+32.3%
14.5%SEK 1,787.48SEK 902.83n/a15
Jun ’25SEK 1,117.95
SEK 1,461.68
+30.7%
13.7%SEK 1,730.89SEK 914.67n/a15
May ’25SEK 1,227.27
SEK 1,487.74
+21.2%
13.1%SEK 1,760.52SEK 932.21n/a16
Apr ’25SEK 1,312.20
SEK 1,475.31
+12.4%
13.5%SEK 1,807.83SEK 914.34n/a16
Mar ’25SEK 1,350.67
SEK 1,437.46
+6.4%
13.6%SEK 1,758.58SEK 889.43n/a16
Feb ’25SEK 1,287.24
SEK 1,353.57
+5.2%
14.8%SEK 1,701.73SEK 765.00n/a16
Jan ’25SEK 1,202.20
SEK 1,322.77
+10.0%
14.2%SEK 1,650.11SEK 752.18n/a16
Dec ’24SEK 1,089.50
SEK 1,351.12
+24.0%
14.3%SEK 1,689.14SEK 769.97n/a16
Nov ’24SEK 989.50
SEK 1,424.44
+44.0%
15.6%SEK 1,796.92SEK 800.05n/a16
Oct ’24SEK 1,106.40
SEK 1,513.41
+36.8%
13.2%SEK 1,751.69SEK 1,009.79n/a15
Sep ’24SEK 1,197.20
SEK 1,562.10
+30.5%
13.0%SEK 1,788.48SEK 1,041.39SEK 1,066.5016
Aug ’24SEK 1,275.59
SEK 1,551.63
+21.6%
13.1%SEK 1,794.05SEK 1,019.75SEK 1,036.8315
Jul ’24SEK 1,346.25
SEK 1,590.89
+18.2%
12.7%SEK 1,800.15SEK 1,036.30SEK 1,105.5015
Jun ’24SEK 1,426.92
SEK 1,529.64
+7.2%
12.4%SEK 1,748.74SEK 1,013.77SEK 1,117.9514
May ’24SEK 1,359.41
SEK 1,526.61
+12.3%
12.5%SEK 1,747.34SEK 1,018.44SEK 1,227.2714
Apr ’24SEK 1,385.83
SEK 1,513.15
+9.2%
11.4%SEK 1,749.99SEK 1,095.57SEK 1,312.2013
Mar ’24SEK 1,263.03
SEK 1,479.37
+17.1%
11.0%SEK 1,688.48SEK 1,078.65SEK 1,350.6713
Feb ’24SEK 1,174.83
SEK 1,452.30
+23.6%
13.9%SEK 1,723.74SEK 1,024.39SEK 1,287.2412
Jan ’24SEK 1,014.05
SEK 1,375.29
+35.6%
18.7%SEK 1,671.24SEK 850.64SEK 1,202.2012
Dec ’23SEK 1,085.00
SEK 1,371.50
+26.4%
18.7%SEK 1,668.44SEK 846.22SEK 1,089.5012
Nov ’23SEK 1,033.29
SEK 1,378.28
+33.4%
18.4%SEK 1,673.78SEK 848.93SEK 989.5012
Oct ’23SEK 887.07
SEK 1,471.36
+65.9%
15.3%SEK 1,742.04SEK 1,056.00SEK 1,106.4011
Sep ’23SEK 832.83
SEK 1,471.68
+76.7%
15.2%SEK 1,724.95SEK 1,019.23SEK 1,197.2010

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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