McDonald's Valuation

Is 0R16 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0R16 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0R16 ($301.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($349.19)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0R16 is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0R16?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0R16 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue10.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.5x
PEG Ratio4.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0R16's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0R16 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.8x
CPG Compass Group
30.4x12.1%UK£40.7b
ROO Deliveroo
48.2x35.5%UK£2.4b
GRG Greggs
21.4x7.5%UK£2.9b
DOM Domino's Pizza Group
15.5x9.5%UK£1.2b
0R16 McDonald's
26.2x6.3%US$217.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0R16 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the peer average (28.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0R16's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a19.4%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0R16 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0R16's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0R16 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.2x
Fair PE Ratio37.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0R16 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0R16 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$301.75
US$302.94
+0.4%
7.1%US$360.00US$257.00n/a32
Sep ’25US$276.00
US$295.85
+7.2%
6.4%US$342.00US$257.00n/a31
Aug ’25US$264.75
US$294.87
+11.4%
6.3%US$342.00US$257.00n/a31
Jul ’25US$251.00
US$310.13
+23.6%
5.7%US$357.00US$285.00n/a31
Jun ’25US$259.25
US$312.13
+20.4%
6.3%US$357.00US$285.00n/a30
May ’25US$271.75
US$316.05
+16.3%
6.2%US$357.00US$285.00n/a31
Apr ’25US$282.75
US$325.72
+15.2%
4.7%US$357.00US$290.00n/a31
Mar ’25US$291.50
US$326.26
+11.9%
4.5%US$357.00US$299.00n/a32
Feb ’25US$294.00
US$323.33
+10.0%
6.4%US$383.00US$280.00n/a33
Jan ’25US$295.50
US$315.59
+6.8%
6.3%US$383.00US$280.00n/a34
Dec ’24US$284.25
US$308.33
+8.5%
7.2%US$383.00US$270.00n/a33
Nov ’24US$260.25
US$307.72
+18.2%
7.4%US$383.00US$270.00n/a33
Oct ’24US$263.50
US$328.59
+24.7%
5.3%US$383.00US$285.00US$303.7532
Sep ’24US$280.00
US$327.97
+17.1%
5.1%US$383.00US$285.00US$276.0032
Aug ’24US$291.00
US$327.26
+12.5%
5.4%US$383.00US$285.00US$264.7533
Jul ’24US$297.00
US$316.05
+6.4%
5.0%US$346.00US$260.00US$251.0033
Jun ’24US$287.00
US$316.30
+10.2%
5.0%US$346.00US$260.00US$259.2532
May ’24US$293.00
US$314.20
+7.2%
5.4%US$346.00US$260.00US$271.7533
Apr ’24US$277.15
US$293.27
+5.8%
6.0%US$330.00US$240.00US$282.7532
Mar ’24US$262.70
US$292.20
+11.2%
5.8%US$328.00US$240.00US$291.5033
Feb ’24US$265.35
US$292.63
+10.3%
5.9%US$328.00US$240.00US$294.0032
Jan ’24US$266.05
US$289.55
+8.8%
6.3%US$328.00US$247.00US$295.5033
Dec ’23US$272.65
US$288.53
+5.8%
6.2%US$328.00US$247.00US$284.2534
Nov ’23US$271.60
US$287.59
+5.9%
6.2%US$328.00US$247.00US$260.2534
Oct ’23US$233.75
US$281.44
+20.4%
6.8%US$328.00US$235.00US$263.5034

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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