Meliá Hotels International, S.A.

LSE:0MKO Stock Report

Market Cap: €1.6b

Meliá Hotels International Valuation

Is 0MKO undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0MKO when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0MKO (€7.42) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€5.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0MKO is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0MKO?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0MKO key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13.4x
PEG Ratio1.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0MKO's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0MKO vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.5x
TRN Trainline
62.1x18.8%UK£1.4b
PPH PPHE Hotel Group
27.7x26.8%UK£620.4m
WTB Whitbread
16.5x7.0%UK£5.6b
OTB On the Beach Group
23.5x24.9%UK£249.1m
0MKO Meliá Hotels International
13.9x7.5%€1.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0MKO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the peer average (32.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0MKO's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0MKO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (21.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0MKO's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0MKO PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.9x
Fair PE Ratio20.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0MKO is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0MKO forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€7.42
€7.58
+2.2%
9.2%€8.80€6.50n/a12
Apr ’25€7.49
€7.45
-0.5%
8.5%€8.80€6.50n/a12
Mar ’25€6.68
€7.22
+8.1%
11.6%€8.80€6.00n/a12
Feb ’25€6.20
€7.09
+14.3%
12.3%€8.80€6.00n/a12
Jan ’25€5.96
€7.00
+17.5%
15.5%€8.80€4.90n/a11
Dec ’24€5.75
€7.01
+22.1%
15.4%€8.80€4.90n/a11
Nov ’24€5.22
€7.10
+36.2%
13.3%€8.80€5.60n/a11
Oct ’24€5.82
€7.17
+23.1%
12.5%€8.80€5.60n/a11
Sep ’24€6.08
€7.00
+15.2%
14.4%€8.80€5.50n/a11
Aug ’24€6.75
€6.94
+2.8%
13.2%€8.10€5.50n/a11
Jul ’24€6.33
€6.68
+5.5%
14.5%€8.10€4.60n/a12
Jun ’24€6.08
€6.55
+7.6%
14.5%€8.10€4.60n/a13
May ’24€5.86
€6.59
+12.4%
15.0%€8.10€4.60n/a13
Apr ’24€5.95
€6.37
+7.1%
17.6%€8.10€4.20€7.4914
Mar ’24€6.30
€6.39
+1.5%
17.3%€8.10€4.20€6.6814
Feb ’24€6.08
€6.10
+0.3%
18.7%€8.00€4.20€6.2014
Jan ’24€4.60
€6.04
+31.3%
19.8%€8.00€4.10€5.9615
Dec ’23€5.18
€6.33
+22.2%
21.3%€9.00€4.10€5.7515
Nov ’23€4.71
€6.81
+44.6%
18.4%€9.00€4.20€5.2215
Oct ’23€4.79
€7.68
+60.3%
12.1%€10.00€6.20€5.8215
Sep ’23€5.95
€8.08
+35.7%
11.1%€10.00€6.60€6.0816
Aug ’23€6.13
€8.08
+31.7%
11.1%€10.00€6.60€6.7516
Jul ’23€5.97
€8.15
+36.5%
11.3%€9.80€6.30€6.3316
Jun ’23€7.41
€8.01
+8.1%
11.9%€9.20€6.00€6.0817
May ’23€7.99
€7.72
-3.4%
12.2%€9.00€6.00€5.8617
Apr ’23€6.81
€7.49
+9.9%
11.7%€9.00€6.00€5.9517

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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