Domino's Pizza Valuation

Is 0A7E undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0A7E when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
US$424.64
Fair Value
2.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
31
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 0A7E ($413.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($424.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0A7E is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0A7E?

Key metric: As 0A7E is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0A7E. This is calculated by dividing 0A7E's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0A7E's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio24.8x
EarningsUS$572.02m
Market CapUS$14.19b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0A7E's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0A7E vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28x
CPG Compass Group
39.8x14.8%UK£45.2b
GRG Greggs
19.4x6.0%UK£2.7b
ROO Deliveroo
38.5x41.0%UK£1.9b
DOM Domino's Pizza Group
14.4x5.8%UK£1.1b
0A7E Domino's Pizza
24.8x5.7%US$14.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0A7E is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x) compared to the peer average (28x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0A7E's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TAST Tasty
0.3x-73.4%US$2.20m
No more companies available in this PE range
0A7E 24.8xIndustry Avg. 19.4xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0A7E is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (20.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0A7E's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0A7E PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio24.8x
Fair PE Ratio26.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0A7E is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (24.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0A7E forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$413.77
US$482.33
+16.6%
9.4%US$559.00US$412.00n/a31
Jan ’26US$419.10
US$480.65
+14.7%
10.0%US$559.00US$370.00n/a31
Dec ’25US$476.19
US$480.65
+0.9%
10.0%US$559.00US$370.00n/a31
Nov ’25US$426.74
US$474.84
+11.3%
9.8%US$557.00US$370.00n/a31
Oct ’25US$429.72
US$486.71
+13.3%
9.9%US$580.00US$380.00n/a31
Sep ’25US$412.70
US$490.68
+18.9%
10.5%US$580.00US$380.00n/a31
Aug ’25US$422.91
US$490.68
+16.0%
10.5%US$580.00US$380.00n/a31
Jul ’25US$502.51
US$545.16
+8.5%
9.0%US$626.00US$425.00n/a31
Jun ’25US$503.25
US$540.93
+7.5%
8.5%US$626.00US$425.00n/a30
May ’25US$519.00
US$536.40
+3.4%
8.7%US$626.00US$425.00n/a30
Apr ’25US$496.22
US$486.59
-1.9%
8.8%US$550.00US$400.00n/a29
Mar ’25US$448.94
US$481.14
+7.2%
9.6%US$550.00US$400.00n/a29
Feb ’25US$429.98
US$436.03
+1.4%
8.6%US$500.00US$346.00n/a30
Jan ’25US$411.10
US$425.57
+3.5%
9.5%US$483.00US$330.00US$419.1030
Dec ’24US$394.20
US$410.49
+4.1%
9.6%US$483.00US$330.00US$476.1928
Nov ’24US$342.27
US$409.06
+19.5%
9.7%US$483.00US$330.00US$426.7428
Oct ’24US$379.10
US$415.25
+9.5%
9.9%US$483.00US$320.00US$429.7227
Sep ’24US$390.08
US$411.42
+5.5%
10.3%US$483.00US$320.00US$412.7027
Aug ’24US$400.08
US$408.05
+2.0%
10.6%US$483.00US$320.00US$422.9127
Jul ’24US$334.73
US$347.90
+3.9%
10.4%US$415.00US$270.00US$502.5126
Jun ’24US$297.37
US$346.66
+16.6%
10.7%US$415.00US$270.00US$503.2525
May ’24US$318.90
US$347.24
+8.9%
10.6%US$415.00US$270.00US$519.0025
Apr ’24US$328.56
US$341.27
+3.9%
11.3%US$406.00US$270.00US$496.2226
Mar ’24US$299.00
US$342.48
+14.5%
10.9%US$406.00US$270.00US$448.9426
Feb ’24US$356.01
US$382.41
+7.4%
11.5%US$460.00US$299.00US$429.9828
Jan ’24US$345.70
US$382.99
+10.8%
11.4%US$460.00US$315.00US$411.1028
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 31 Analysts
US$485.70
Fair Value
14.8% undervalued intrinsic discount
31
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 09:35
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/08
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Domino's Pizza, Inc. is covered by 57 analysts. 29 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
John StaszakArgus Research Company
David TarantinoBaird
Ishan MajumdarBaptista Research