Auction Technology Group plc

BATS-CHIXE:ATGL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£509.5m

Auction Technology Group Valuation

Is ATGL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ATGL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: ATGL (£4.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£10.3)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ATGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ATGL?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

ATGL key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue4.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA14.3x
PEG Ratio1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does ATGL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for ATGL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
MEGP ME Group International
13.9x7.5%UK£735.2m
ANX Anexo Group
8.2x44.3%UK£77.3m
YNGA Young's Brewery
51.2x35.0%UK£499.9m
PPH PPHE Hotel Group
23.5x31.6%UK£515.7m
ATGL Auction Technology Group
49.3x35.8%UK£509.5m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: ATGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does ATGL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Services Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a12.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: ATGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the Global Consumer Services industry average (17.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ATGL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ATGL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.3x
Fair PE Ratio28.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: ATGL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ATGL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.25
UK£7.05
+66.1%
22.5%UK£9.40UK£5.30n/a7
Sep ’25UK£4.21
UK£7.07
+67.9%
22.2%UK£9.40UK£5.40n/a7
Aug ’25UK£5.00
UK£7.16
+43.1%
22.1%UK£9.40UK£5.40n/a7
Jul ’25UK£4.82
UK£7.47
+54.9%
20.1%UK£9.40UK£5.60n/a6
Jun ’25UK£5.21
UK£7.47
+43.3%
20.1%UK£9.40UK£5.60n/a6
May ’25UK£4.99
UK£7.49
+50.1%
19.8%UK£9.40UK£5.70n/a6
Apr ’25UK£6.20
UK£7.44
+20.1%
21.9%UK£9.80UK£5.80n/a7
Mar ’25UK£6.12
UK£7.44
+21.6%
21.9%UK£9.80UK£5.80n/a7
Feb ’25UK£5.24
UK£7.33
+39.9%
23.8%UK£9.80UK£5.50n/a7
Jan ’25UK£5.22
UK£7.72
+47.9%
20.8%UK£9.80UK£5.82n/a6
Dec ’24UK£4.90
UK£10.06
+105.3%
23.0%UK£15.36UK£7.50n/a7
Nov ’24UK£5.76
UK£10.43
+81.1%
20.1%UK£15.36UK£8.80n/a7
Oct ’24UK£6.57
UK£10.57
+60.9%
21.1%UK£15.36UK£9.00n/a6
Sep ’24UK£6.90
UK£10.57
+53.2%
21.1%UK£15.36UK£9.00UK£4.216
Aug ’24UK£7.03
UK£10.57
+50.3%
21.1%UK£15.36UK£9.00UK£5.006
Jul ’24UK£7.53
UK£10.57
+40.3%
21.1%UK£15.36UK£9.00UK£4.826
Jun ’24UK£7.46
UK£10.57
+41.7%
21.1%UK£15.36UK£9.00UK£5.216
May ’24UK£7.00
UK£10.51
+50.1%
20.0%UK£15.00UK£9.00UK£4.996
Apr ’24UK£6.12
UK£10.53
+72.1%
19.8%UK£15.00UK£9.00UK£6.206
Mar ’24UK£6.84
UK£10.53
+53.9%
19.8%UK£15.00UK£9.00UK£6.126
Feb ’24UK£6.94
UK£10.41
+50.0%
20.5%UK£15.00UK£9.00UK£5.246
Jan ’24UK£7.55
UK£10.82
+43.3%
20.2%UK£15.00UK£9.00UK£5.225
Dec ’23UK£7.88
UK£10.95
+38.9%
19.2%UK£15.00UK£9.00UK£4.905
Nov ’23UK£8.23
UK£12.06
+46.5%
27.0%UK£16.85UK£9.00UK£5.765
Oct ’23UK£7.12
UK£13.01
+82.7%
23.7%UK£16.85UK£9.00UK£6.574
Sep ’23UK£7.76
UK£14.34
+84.8%
16.5%UK£16.85UK£11.18UK£6.903

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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