Tortilla Mexican Grill plc

AIM:MEX Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£27.8m

Tortilla Mexican Grill Future Growth

Future criteria checks 5/6

Tortilla Mexican Grill is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 108.3% and 5.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 108.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 109.2% in 3 years.

Key information

108.3%

Earnings growth rate

108.49%

EPS growth rate

Hospitality earnings growth18.3%
Revenue growth rate5.5%
Future return on equity109.24%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated19 May 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 26

None

Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Tortilla Mexican Grill to reflect updated assumptions on fair value at 0.7, a discount rate of 13.39%, revenue growth of 6.54%, a profit margin of 10.70% and a future P/E of 4.13x. What's in the News No recent news items, periodical coverage or key developments for Tortilla Mexican Grill are provided in the available sources.
Analysis Article Dec 31

Tortilla Mexican Grill plc (LON:MEX) Shares Fly 27% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Tortilla Mexican Grill plc ( LON:MEX ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the...
Analysis Article Dec 11

An Intrinsic Calculation For Tortilla Mexican Grill plc (LON:MEX) Suggests It's 46% Undervalued

Key Insights The projected fair value for Tortilla Mexican Grill is UK£0.78 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
Analysis Article Oct 01

Market Cool On Tortilla Mexican Grill plc's (LON:MEX) Revenues

When close to half the companies operating in the Hospitality industry in the United Kingdom have price-to-sales ratios...
User avatar
New Narrative Jun 01

Technology Investments And European Expansion Will Fuel Fast Casual Evolution

Technology adoption, menu innovation, and cost management are enhancing efficiency, customer loyalty, and margins, supporting sustainable growth and operational resilience.
Analysis Article Jul 25

Tortilla Mexican Grill plc's (LON:MEX) Shares Not Telling The Full Story

Tortilla Mexican Grill plc's ( LON:MEX ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x may look like a pretty appealing...
Analysis Article Jun 27

Here's Why Tortilla Mexican Grill (LON:MEX) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
Analysis Article Apr 18

Tortilla Mexican Grill (LON:MEX) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common...
Analysis Article Dec 21

Returns At Tortilla Mexican Grill (LON:MEX) Are On The Way Up

What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Firstly...
Analysis Article Jan 10

Are Investors Undervaluing Tortilla Mexican Grill plc (LON:MEX) By 45%?

Key Insights Tortilla Mexican Grill's estimated fair value is UK£1.8 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Analysis Article Oct 05

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Tortilla Mexican Grill plc (LON:MEX)

In this article we are going to estimate the intrinsic value of Tortilla Mexican Grill plc ( LON:MEX ) by projecting...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

AIM:MEX - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20278334132
12/31/20267812122
12/31/202574-3-492
6/29/202572-549N/A
3/29/202570-4510N/A
12/29/202468-3611N/A
9/29/202466-2510N/A
6/30/202464-159N/A
3/31/202465-1510N/A
12/31/202366-1510N/A
9/30/202365-138N/A
7/2/202364-117N/A
4/2/202361-117N/A
1/1/202358-118N/A
10/1/202256-138N/A
7/3/202254-159N/A
4/3/2022510711N/A
1/2/2022481912N/A
10/2/2021433912N/A
7/4/2021384911N/A
4/4/202132168N/A
1/3/202127-234N/A
12/29/201935-137N/A
12/30/201834-1N/A7N/A
12/31/201730-1N/A0N/A
12/25/201625-1N/A2N/A
12/27/2015210N/A3N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MEX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: MEX is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: MEX is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: MEX's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (4.6% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MEX's revenue (5.5% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MEX's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (109.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 15:32
End of Day Share Price 2026/06/30 00:00
Earnings2025/06/29
Annual Earnings2024/12/29

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Tortilla Mexican Grill plc is covered by 2 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Nigel ParsonCavendish
Anna BarnfatherPanmure Liberum