Loungers Valuation

Is LGRS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LGRS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LGRS (£2.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£4.88)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LGRS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LGRS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

LGRS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA13x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LGRS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LGRS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.5x
DPEU DP Eurasia
42.6xn/aUK£278.5m
FSTA Fuller Smith & Turner
34x23.7%UK£357.5m
YNGA Young's Brewery
20.2x19.1%UK£483.7m
JDW J D Wetherspoon
21.1x20.6%UK£870.6m
LGRS Loungers
35.4x32.7%UK£255.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LGRS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the peer average (29.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LGRS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the GB Hospitality Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a32.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LGRS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the UK Hospitality industry average (22.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LGRS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LGRS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio35.4x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LGRS is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LGRS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.46
UK£3.39
+37.8%
13.9%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a10
Apr ’25UK£2.10
UK£3.38
+61.0%
13.8%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a10
Mar ’25UK£2.08
UK£3.36
+61.3%
14.5%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Feb ’25UK£2.20
UK£3.36
+52.5%
14.5%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Jan ’25UK£2.26
UK£3.36
+48.5%
14.5%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Dec ’24UK£2.27
UK£3.34
+47.1%
14.8%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Nov ’24UK£1.85
UK£3.29
+78.6%
16.6%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Oct ’24UK£1.90
UK£3.34
+76.0%
14.3%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Sep ’24UK£1.86
UK£3.34
+80.3%
14.3%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Aug ’24UK£1.88
UK£3.34
+78.4%
14.3%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Jul ’24UK£1.86
UK£3.21
+72.6%
13.4%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
Jun ’24UK£1.92
UK£3.21
+67.7%
13.4%UK£4.00UK£2.50n/a9
May ’24UK£2.00
UK£3.39
+69.4%
15.3%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£2.468
Apr ’24UK£2.05
UK£3.44
+67.7%
14.5%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£2.108
Mar ’24UK£2.08
UK£3.44
+65.7%
14.5%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£2.088
Feb ’24UK£2.23
UK£3.44
+54.5%
14.5%UK£4.00UK£2.50UK£2.208
Jan ’24UK£1.80
UK£3.46
+92.2%
13.3%UK£4.00UK£2.67UK£2.268
Dec ’23UK£1.92
UK£3.52
+84.0%
12.9%UK£4.00UK£2.67UK£2.277
Nov ’23UK£1.94
UK£3.55
+82.8%
13.3%UK£4.00UK£2.67UK£1.857
Oct ’23UK£2.07
UK£3.81
+84.5%
5.9%UK£4.00UK£3.40UK£1.905
Sep ’23UK£2.10
UK£3.81
+81.4%
5.9%UK£4.00UK£3.40UK£1.865
Aug ’23UK£2.06
UK£3.64
+76.9%
8.3%UK£4.00UK£3.11UK£1.886
Jul ’23UK£1.82
UK£3.68
+102.6%
7.8%UK£4.00UK£3.11UK£1.866
Jun ’23UK£2.00
UK£3.68
+83.8%
7.8%UK£4.00UK£3.11UK£1.926
May ’23UK£2.51
UK£3.68
+46.5%
7.8%UK£4.00UK£3.11UK£2.006

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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