Tesco Dividends and Buybacks
Dividend criteria checks 3/6
Tesco is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 3.02% that is well covered by earnings. Next payment date is on 26th June, 2026 with an ex-dividend date of 14th May, 2026.
Key information
3.0%
Dividend yield
5.0%
Buyback Yield
| Total Shareholder Yield | 8.1% |
| Future Dividend Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Growth | 14.6% |
| Next dividend pay date | 26 Jun 26 |
| Ex dividend date | 14 May 26 |
| Dividend per share | n/a |
| Payout ratio | 53% |
Recent dividend and buyback updates
Recent updates
TSCO: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Share Repurchase Discipline
Analysts have raised the Tesco price target to reflect a fair value estimate of £5.10, supported by slightly firmer profit margin assumptions, a marginally lower discount rate, and a small adjustment to future P/E expectations, even as projected revenue growth is set at a more modest level. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Tesco reflects a mix of confidence in the current setup and attention to execution risks, with several large banks revisiting their fair value assumptions and price targets.The Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO) Full-Year Results Are Out And Analysts Have Published New Forecasts
Apr 19
TSCO: Future Returns Will Depend On Margins And Modest Multiple Expectations
Analysts have made a modest upward adjustment to Tesco's price target, reflecting slightly higher fair value estimates around £4.89, a small change to assumed discount rates and growth, and a marginally lower future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates on Tesco highlight a mix of optimism around fair value and some caution on execution and near term risks.TSCO: Execution On Margins And P E Assumptions Will Guide Future Returns
Tesco's analyst price target has been adjusted to £4.86 from £4.81. Analysts cite updated fair value estimates, a slightly higher assumed P/E multiple, and refined views on revenue growth and profit margin as drivers of the change.TSCO: Store Partnerships And Execution Will Shape Fairly Valued Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their Tesco price target to £4.80 from £5.00, reflecting slightly adjusted assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Tesco focuses on how the adjusted £4.80 price target lines up with expectations on valuation, execution and growth.TSCO: Execution On Store Partnerships And Margins Will Shape Future Returns
Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their Tesco price target to £4.80 from £5.00, reflecting slightly lower discount rate and future P/E assumptions while keeping their broader positive stance on the shares intact. Analyst Commentary Bullish and bearish analysts are reacting to the revised £4.80 price target with a focus on how Tesco can execute against its current valuation, rather than a wholesale change in view on the company.TSCO: Higher Discount Rate Assumptions And Retail Execution Will Shape Future Returns
Analysts have trimmed their average price target on Tesco to £4.80 from £5.00, citing slightly higher discount rate assumptions and only marginal tweaks to growth and margin inputs in their models. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Tesco centres on how small model adjustments feed through to valuation, with the average price target easing to £4.80.Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO)
Feb 03TSCO: Higher Risk Assumptions And Retail Execution Will Shape Future Upside
The latest analyst narrative on Tesco reflects a small reduction in the implied fair value, in line with JPMorgan trimming its price target to £4.80 from £5.00. Analysts are factoring in slightly softer revenue growth assumptions, a marginally higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple.Tesco (LON:TSCO) Is Looking To Continue Growing Its Returns On Capital
Jan 19TSCO: Higher Risk Assumptions And Stable Margins Will Shape Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their Tesco fair value estimate slightly to £4.80 from about £4.84. They cite a modest reset in discount rate assumptions alongside steady expectations for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E levels.TSCO: Modest Margin Inflection And Consumer Headwinds Will Shape Near-Term Performance
Analysts have modestly raised their Tesco price target, reflecting a slightly higher fair value estimate of approximately $4.84, up from about $4.70, supported by incremental improvements in revenue growth, profit margin and expected future valuation multiples. Analyst Commentary Analyst opinion on Tesco remains cautiously constructive, with recent price target adjustments reflecting incremental confidence in the group’s ability to execute on its strategy while navigating a still fragile consumer backdrop.Is There An Opportunity With Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) 30% Undervaluation?
Dec 04TSCO: Earnings Outlook And Upcoming Report Will Define Near-Term Momentum
Tesco’s analyst price target was raised from 400 GBp to 450 GBp, as analysts cited improved earnings forecasts and the company’s placement on a positive catalyst watch in advance of its upcoming results. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on Tesco has become increasingly positive following recent revisions to earnings estimates and a notable upgrade in the company's price target.TSCO: Upgraded Outlook May Drive Momentum Ahead Of Earnings Update
Analysts have increased their price target for Tesco to £4.50 from £4.00, citing stronger than expected earnings estimates and an improved profit outlook. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts have raised their price targets for Tesco, reflecting increased confidence in the company's outlook.These 4 Measures Indicate That Tesco (LON:TSCO) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Nov 04TSCO: Upcoming Earnings And Dividend Will Shape Outlook Amid Mixed Sentiment
Tesco's analyst price target has increased from 400 GBp to 450 GBp. Analysts cite stronger earnings estimates and the company being placed on a "Positive Catalyst Watch" ahead of upcoming results. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts raised Tesco’s price target to 450 GBp, reflecting increased confidence in the company’s growth trajectory and financial performance.Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing
Oct 20Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences
Tesco’s analyst price target has been raised, increasing from £4.56 to approximately £4.70 per share. Analysts cite stronger-than-expected earnings forecasts and improved profit margin expectations as their rationale for the update.Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences
Tesco's price target has been raised from 400 GBp to 450 GBp as analysts cite improved earnings forecasts. Estimates are now set well above company guidance.Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences
Tesco’s analyst price target has been raised from £4.29 to £4.40 as analysts express increased confidence driven by stronger earnings forecasts, anticipated positive catalysts, and sustained operational momentum. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are anticipating strong upcoming earnings, with first half and full year estimates raised significantly, placing forecasts comfortably above current guidance.Digital Investments And Clubcard Offers Will Transform Retail Experiences
Tesco’s fair value estimate was marginally revised upward to £4.29, primarily reflecting a modest increase in its future P/E multiple while revenue growth forecasts remained steady. What's in the News Tractor Supply is expanding its final-mile delivery network by hiring drivers and renting vehicles to serve rural customers more effectively, aiming to boost digital and B2B sales (WSJ).Estimating The Fair Value Of Tesco PLC (LON:TSCO)
Aug 26Does Tesco (LON:TSCO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Aug 05What Tesco PLC's (LON:TSCO) P/E Is Not Telling You
Jul 18Tesco's (LON:TSCO) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year
May 11
Unleashing Digital Innovation And Premium Products To Outperform In Competitive Markets
Tesco's digital investment and omnichannel expansion are set to drive revenue growth by enhancing convenience and product variety for customers.Upcoming Dividend Payment
Stability and Growth of Payments
Fetching dividends data
Stable Dividend: TSCO has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years and during this time payments have been volatile.
Growing Dividend: TSCO's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 9 years.
Dividend Yield vs Market
| Tesco Dividend Yield vs Market |
|---|
| Segment | Dividend Yield |
|---|---|
| Company (TSCO) | 3.0% |
| Market Bottom 25% (GB) | 2.3% |
| Market Top 25% (GB) | 5.7% |
| Industry Average (Consumer Retailing) | 3.4% |
| Analyst forecast (TSCO) (up to 3 years) | 3.9% |
Notable Dividend: TSCO's dividend (3.02%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (2.28%).
High Dividend: TSCO's dividend (3.02%) is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the UK market (5.75%).
Earnings Payout to Shareholders
Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (52.8%), TSCO's dividend payments are covered by earnings.
Cash Payout to Shareholders
Cash Flow Coverage: With its reasonably low cash payout ratio (41.1%), TSCO's dividend payments are well covered by cash flows.
Discover strong dividend paying companies
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/01 02:47 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/01 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/02/28 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Tesco PLC is covered by 29 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Timothy Attenborough | Banco Santander |
| James Anstead | Barclays |
| Matthew Clements | Barclays |