Stock Analysis

Is Marks and Spencer Group (LON:MKS) Using Too Much Debt?

LSE:MKS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Marks and Spencer Group plc (LON:MKS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Marks and Spencer Group

How Much Debt Does Marks and Spencer Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Marks and Spencer Group had debt of UK£1.53b at the end of April 2022, a reduction from UK£1.69b over a year. On the flip side, it has UK£1.21b in cash leading to net debt of about UK£322.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
LSE:MKS Debt to Equity History July 3rd 2022

How Healthy Is Marks and Spencer Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Marks and Spencer Group had liabilities of UK£2.37b due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£4.15b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£1.21b as well as receivables valued at UK£140.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£5.18b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the UK£2.71b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Marks and Spencer Group would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Marks and Spencer Group's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.34 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.8 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Pleasingly, Marks and Spencer Group is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 319% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Marks and Spencer Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Marks and Spencer Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Marks and Spencer Group is not finding it easy, given its level of total liabilities, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Marks and Spencer Group's debt levels. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Marks and Spencer Group .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.