Stock Analysis

Here's Why Burberry Group (LON:BRBY) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

LSE:BRBY
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Burberry Group plc (LON:BRBY) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

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What Is Burberry Group's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2020 Burberry Group had UK£657.4m of debt, an increase on UK£45.4m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has UK£1.20b in cash, leading to a UK£542.1m net cash position.

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LSE:BRBY Debt to Equity History March 15th 2021

How Healthy Is Burberry Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Burberry Group had liabilities of UK£1.05b due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£1.30b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£1.20b and UK£312.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by UK£834.2m.

Since publicly traded Burberry Group shares are worth a very impressive total of UK£8.57b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Burberry Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Burberry Group if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 39% cut to EBIT over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Burberry Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Burberry Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Burberry Group generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 84% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Burberry Group has UK£542.1m in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£229m, being 84% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Burberry Group's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Burberry Group .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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