Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Burberry Group plc (LON:BRBY) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
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What Is Burberry Group's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at April 2023 Burberry Group had debt of UK£363.0m, up from UK£343.0m in one year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds UK£1.03b in cash, so it actually has UK£663.0m net cash.
How Healthy Is Burberry Group's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Burberry Group had liabilities of UK£829.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£1.32b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of UK£1.03b and UK£351.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total UK£770.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Of course, Burberry Group has a titanic market capitalization of UK£7.94b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Burberry Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
Also positive, Burberry Group grew its EBIT by 21% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Burberry Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Burberry Group has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Burberry Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.
Summing Up
We could understand if investors are concerned about Burberry Group's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of UK£663.0m. And it impressed us with free cash flow of UK£571m, being 101% of its EBIT. So is Burberry Group's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Burberry Group .
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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About LSE:BRBY
Burberry Group
Manufactures, retails, and wholesales luxury goods under the Burberry brand.
Adequate balance sheet with moderate growth potential.