Stock Analysis

Berkeley Group Holdings' (LON:BKG) Returns On Capital Not Reflecting Well On The Business

LSE:BKG
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Berkeley Group Holdings (LON:BKG) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Berkeley Group Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.13 = UK£502m ÷ (UK£5.6b - UK£1.7b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to April 2021).

Therefore, Berkeley Group Holdings has an ROCE of 13%. In absolute terms, that's a satisfactory return, but compared to the Consumer Durables industry average of 6.2% it's much better.

Check out our latest analysis for Berkeley Group Holdings

roce
LSE:BKG Return on Capital Employed August 1st 2021

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Berkeley Group Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Berkeley Group Holdings here for free.

What Can We Tell From Berkeley Group Holdings' ROCE Trend?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Berkeley Group Holdings doesn't inspire confidence. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 26%, but since then they've fallen to 13%. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

On a related note, Berkeley Group Holdings has decreased its current liabilities to 30% of total assets. That could partly explain why the ROCE has dropped. Effectively this means their suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of the business, which reduces some elements of risk. Since the business is basically funding more of its operations with it's own money, you could argue this has made the business less efficient at generating ROCE.

What We Can Learn From Berkeley Group Holdings' ROCE

While returns have fallen for Berkeley Group Holdings in recent times, we're encouraged to see that sales are growing and that the business is reinvesting in its operations. And long term investors must be optimistic going forward because the stock has returned a huge 116% to shareholders in the last five years. So while the underlying trends could already be accounted for by investors, we still think this stock is worth looking into further.

If you want to continue researching Berkeley Group Holdings, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.

While Berkeley Group Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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