Cairn Homes Valuation
Is C5HI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
4/6Valuation Score 4/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of C5HI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: C5HI (€1.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€3.33)
Significantly Below Fair Value: C5HI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for C5HI?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
| What is C5HI's n/a Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| n/a | 0x |
| n/a | n/a |
| Market Cap | €1.04b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 1.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 10.5x |
| PEG Ratio | 1x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does C5HI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 15.8x | ||
CRST Crest Nicholson Holdings | 26.4x | 27.3% | UK£472.1m |
RDW Redrow | 9.8x | 1.4% | UK£2.0b |
BOOT Henry Boot | 9.2x | 3.0% | UK£241.9m |
GLE MJ Gleeson | 17.6x | 16.0% | UK£299.1m |
C5HI Cairn Homes | 12.2x | 12.4% | €894.2m |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: C5HI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the peer average (15.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does C5HI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Consumer Durables Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: C5HI is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.2x) compared to the European Consumer Durables industry average (13.2x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is C5HI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 12.2x |
| Fair PE Ratio | n/a |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate C5HI's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | n/a | €1.90 0% | 5.7% | €2.00 | €1.75 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’25 | €1.59 | €1.90 +19.5% | 5.7% | €2.00 | €1.75 | n/a | 3 |
| Mar ’25 | n/a | €1.90 0% | 5.7% | €2.00 | €1.75 | n/a | 3 |
| Feb ’25 | €1.44 | €1.85 +28.8% | 5.8% | €1.96 | €1.74 | n/a | 2 |
| Jan ’25 | n/a | €1.68 0% | 8.3% | €1.84 | €1.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’24 | €1.25 | €1.68 +34.3% | 8.3% | €1.84 | €1.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Nov ’24 | n/a | €1.64 0% | 8.9% | €1.84 | €1.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Oct ’24 | n/a | €1.60 0% | 6.2% | €1.74 | €1.50 | n/a | 3 |
| Sep ’24 | n/a | €1.59 0% | 7.4% | €1.74 | €1.45 | n/a | 3 |
| Aug ’24 | n/a | €1.59 0% | 7.4% | €1.74 | €1.45 | n/a | 3 |
| Jul ’24 | €1.16 | €1.56 +35.3% | 8.3% | €1.74 | €1.43 | n/a | 3 |
| Jun ’24 | €1.07 | €1.56 +46.5% | 8.3% | €1.74 | €1.43 | n/a | 3 |
| May ’24 | €1.02 | €1.56 +52.0% | 8.9% | €1.74 | €1.41 | n/a | 3 |
| Apr ’24 | €1.03 | €1.56 +51.1% | 8.9% | €1.74 | €1.41 | €1.59 | 3 |
| Mar ’24 | €0.95 | €1.45 +52.3% | 6.1% | €1.54 | €1.36 | n/a | 2 |
| Feb ’24 | €0.98 | €1.45 +48.4% | 6.1% | €1.54 | €1.36 | €1.44 | 2 |
| Jan ’24 | €0.87 | €1.54 +77.1% | 7.3% | €1.65 | €1.38 | n/a | 3 |
| Dec ’23 | €0.92 | €1.54 +66.4% | 7.3% | €1.65 | €1.38 | €1.25 | 3 |
| Nov ’23 | €0.99 | €1.55 +57.1% | 6.5% | €1.65 | €1.38 | n/a | 4 |
| Oct ’23 | €0.85 | €1.55 +83.0% | 6.5% | €1.65 | €1.38 | n/a | 4 |
| Sep ’23 | €0.99 | €1.61 +63.5% | 1.8% | €1.65 | €1.57 | n/a | 4 |
| Aug ’23 | €1.07 | €1.55 +44.9% | 8.3% | €1.65 | €1.30 | n/a | 5 |
| Jul ’23 | €0.99 | €1.55 +56.0% | 8.3% | €1.65 | €1.30 | €1.16 | 5 |
| Jun ’23 | €1.08 | €1.56 +44.4% | 8.4% | €1.65 | €1.30 | €1.07 | 5 |
| May ’23 | n/a | €1.56 0% | 8.4% | €1.65 | €1.30 | €1.02 | 5 |
| Apr ’23 | €1.24 | €1.56 +25.6% | 8.3% | €1.65 | €1.30 | €1.03 | 5 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.