Asmodee Group Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of ASMDES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

ASMDES (SEK123.59) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (SEK139.96)

Is ASMDES undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ASMDES when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow

Simply Wall St

SEK 139.96

Fair Value

11.7% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: ASMDES (SEK123.59) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK139.96)

Significantly Below Fair Value: ASMDES is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for ASMDES?

Key metric: As ASMDES is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for ASMDES. This is calculated by dividing ASMDES's market cap by their current revenue.
What is ASMDES's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	1.9x
Sales	€1.37b
Market Cap	€2.66b

ASMDES key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	17x
PEG Ratio	17.6x

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does ASMDES's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for ASMDES vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	2.7x
GAW Games Workshop Group	8.6x	0.77%	UK£5.3b
CCT Character Group	0.5x	n/a	UK£56.0m
VTY Vistry Group	0.5x	6.59%	UK£1.9b
BWY Bellway	1.2x	9.30%	UK£3.0b
ASMDES Asmodee Group	1.9x	4.39%	SEK 29.7b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: ASMDES is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the peer average (2.7x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does ASMDES's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Leisure Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: ASMDES is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.9x) compared to the European Leisure industry average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is ASMDES's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

ASMDES PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	1.9x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate ASMDES's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst ASMDES forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	SEK 123.59	SEK 137.80 +11.50%	6.72%	SEK 147.00	SEK 120.00	n/a	5
Jul ’26	SEK 124.96	SEK 131.25 +5.03%	8.58%	SEK 143.00	SEK 120.00	n/a	4
Jun ’26	n/a	SEK 131.25 0%	8.58%	SEK 143.00	SEK 120.00	n/a	4
May ’26	n/a	SEK 117.75 0%	4.09%	SEK 123.00	SEK 110.00	n/a	4
Apr ’26	n/a	SEK 113.60 0%	6.81%	SEK 120.00	SEK 100.00	n/a	5
Mar ’26	SEK 100.60	SEK 110.00 +9.34%	7.42%	SEK 120.00	SEK 100.00	n/a	3

AnalystConsensusTarget

Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts

SEK 133.85

Fair Value

7.7% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/08/05 00:18
End of Day Share Price	2025/07/30 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2025/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Asmodee Group AB (publ) is covered by 6 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
William Packer	BNP Paribas Exane
Jacob Edler	Danske Bank
Amar Galijasevic	DNB Carnegie