Stock Analysis

Mulberry Group (LON:MUL) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?

AIM:MUL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Mulberry Group plc (LON:MUL) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

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What Is Mulberry Group's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Mulberry Group had debt of UK£23.9m, up from UK£12.6m in one year. However, it does have UK£5.85m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about UK£18.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:MUL Debt to Equity History January 13th 2024

How Strong Is Mulberry Group's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Mulberry Group had liabilities of UK£60.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of UK£45.2m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had UK£5.85m in cash and UK£15.3m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total UK£84.3m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£86.5m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Mulberry Group's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Over 12 months, Mulberry Group reported revenue of UK£164m, which is a gain of 8.1%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. That rate of growth is a bit slow for our taste, but it takes all types to make a world.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Mulberry Group had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost UK£2.3m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. On the bright side, we note that trailing twelve month EBIT is worse than the free cash flow of UK£1.4m and the profit of UK£3.7m. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Mulberry Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.