Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Staffline Group (LON:STAF) Is Using Debt Extensively

AIM:STAF
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Staffline Group plc (LON:STAF) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Staffline Group

How Much Debt Does Staffline Group Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Staffline Group had debt of UK£13.8m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from UK£15.7m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of UK£5.40m, its net debt is less, at about UK£8.40m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
AIM:STAF Debt to Equity History August 6th 2024

How Strong Is Staffline Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Staffline Group had liabilities of UK£158.3m due within 12 months, and liabilities of UK£4.60m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of UK£5.40m as well as receivables valued at UK£112.5m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling UK£45.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of UK£48.0m. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Staffline Group has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.65 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 1.8 times the interest expense. So while we're not necessarily alarmed we think that its debt is far from trivial. Pleasingly, Staffline Group is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 126% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Staffline Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Staffline Group burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Staffline Group's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Staffline Group's debt is making it a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Staffline Group .

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.