Stock Analysis

GlobalData's (LON:DATA) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

AIM:DATA
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The board of GlobalData Plc (LON:DATA) has announced that the dividend on 7th of October will be increased to £0.077, which will be 26% higher than last year's payment of £0.061 which covered the same period. This takes the annual payment to 1.8% of the current stock price, which is about average for the industry.

View our latest analysis for GlobalData

GlobalData's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Solid dividend yields are great, but they only really help us if the payment is sustainable. Prior to this announcement, the company was paying out 96% of what it was earning, however the dividend was quite comfortably covered by free cash flows at a cash payout ratio of only 35%. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 91.3%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 62% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.

historic-dividend
AIM:DATA Historic Dividend August 4th 2022

GlobalData Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

It is great to see that GlobalData has been paying a stable dividend for a number of years now, however we want to be a bit cautious about whether this will remain true through a full economic cycle. Since 2016, the annual payment back then was £0.025, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.193. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 41% a year over that time. We're not overly excited about the relatively short history of dividend payments, however the dividend is growing at a nice rate and we might take a closer look.

GlobalData's Dividend Might Lack Growth

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. We are encouraged to see that GlobalData has grown earnings per share at 41% per year over the past five years. Although earnings per share is up nicely GlobalData is paying out 96% of its earnings as dividends, which we feel is borderline unsustainable without extenuating circumstances.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The payments haven't been particularly stable and we don't see huge growth potential, but with the dividend well covered by cash flows it could prove to be reliable over the short term. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for GlobalData that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.