Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Howden Joinery Group Plc (LON:HWDN)?

Howden Joinery Group Plc (LON:HWDN), is not the largest company out there, but it maintained its current share price over the past couple of month on the LSE, with a relatively tight range of UK£8.05 to UK£8.83. However, does this price actually reflect the true value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Howden Joinery Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

Is Howden Joinery Group Still Cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to our valuation model. It’s trading around 9.8% below our intrinsic value, which means if you buy Howden Joinery Group today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is £9.01, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Howden Joinery Group’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

View our latest analysis for Howden Joinery Group

Can we expect growth from Howden Joinery Group?

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With profit expected to grow by 21% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Howden Joinery Group. It looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in HWDN’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on HWDN, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with Howden Joinery Group, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you are no longer interested in Howden Joinery Group, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.