Grafton Group plc

LSE:GFTU Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.9b

Grafton Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Grafton Group is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.5% and 6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.7% in 3 years.

Key information

8.5%

Earnings growth rate

9.9%

EPS growth rate

Trade Distributors earnings growth12.0%
Revenue growth rate6.0%
Future return on equity9.7%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated09 May 2025

Recent future growth updates

Grafton Group plc Just Recorded A 6.9% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Mar 09
Grafton Group plc Just Recorded A 6.9% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Recent updates

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.265

Mar 26
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.265

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £0.265

Mar 11
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Will Pay A Larger Dividend Than Last Year At £0.265
author-image

Opening Over 50 Salvador Escoda Branches Will Strengthen Future Presence In Spanish HVAC Market

Mar 09 Entry into the Spanish market via Salvador Escoda acquisition and planned branch expansions creates significant growth opportunities in a fragmented HVAC market.

Grafton Group plc Just Recorded A 6.9% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

Mar 09
Grafton Group plc Just Recorded A 6.9% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next

A Look At The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Feb 20
A Look At The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Should You Investigate Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) At UK£8.75?

Jan 13
Should You Investigate Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) At UK£8.75?

Here's Why Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Nov 27
Here's Why Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Is Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) Trading At A 29% Discount?

Oct 25
Is Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) Trading At A 29% Discount?

Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Shares

Sep 16
Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Shares

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Jun 12
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Apr 15
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Mar 24
Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Mar 10
Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Investors Don't See Light At End Of Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Tunnel

Feb 27
Investors Don't See Light At End Of Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Tunnel

What Is Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Share Price Doing?

Feb 06
What Is Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Share Price Doing?

These 4 Measures Indicate That Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Dec 07
These 4 Measures Indicate That Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

A Look At The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Nov 20
A Look At The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Why Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) Could Be Worth Watching

Nov 02
Why Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) Could Be Worth Watching

Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Sep 05
Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Shareholders Will Receive A Bigger Dividend Than Last Year

Does Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Sep 02
Does Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

A Look At The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Jul 24
A Look At The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)?

Jul 07
Is It Too Late To Consider Buying Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Apr 25
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Apr 05
Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

Is There Now An Opportunity In Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)?

Apr 03
Is There Now An Opportunity In Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)?

Is Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Using Too Much Debt?

Mar 20
Is Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Using Too Much Debt?

Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.2375

Mar 05
Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Dividend Will Be Increased To £0.2375

Should You Investigate Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) At UK£7.74?

Dec 17
Should You Investigate Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU) At UK£7.74?

Estimating The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Oct 18
Estimating The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0925

Aug 28
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Increasing Its Dividend To £0.0925

We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Passed With Ease

Aug 15
We Ran A Stock Scan For Earnings Growth And Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Passed With Ease

Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 26% Above Its Share Price

Jul 12
Grafton Group plc's (LON:GFTU) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 26% Above Its Share Price

Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)?

Jun 06
Is Now An Opportune Moment To Examine Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)?

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

May 08
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

Do Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Apr 22
Do Grafton Group's (LON:GFTU) Earnings Warrant Your Attention?

Estimating The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Apr 09
Estimating The Fair Value Of Grafton Group plc (LON:GFTU)

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To UK£0.22

Mar 15
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To UK£0.22

Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Feb 27
Grafton Group (LON:GFTU) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

LSE:GFTU - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (GBP Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20272,7471551892727
12/31/20262,62313814721710
12/31/20252,51112112221310
12/31/20242,282122200247N/A
9/30/20242,275127198248N/A
6/30/20242,267131196249N/A
3/31/20242,293140208261N/A
12/31/20232,319149220273N/A
9/30/20232,329161215273N/A
6/30/20232,338174211272N/A
3/31/20232,320191185245N/A
12/31/20222,301209160217N/A
9/30/20222,268204118171N/A
6/30/20222,23520076125N/A
3/31/20222,172204135182N/A
12/31/20212,110207195239N/A
9/30/20212,057205297340N/A
6/30/20212,003202399440N/A
3/31/20211,841156339378N/A
12/31/20201,679109279316N/A
9/30/20201,871103217258N/A
6/30/20202,06297154200N/A
3/31/20202,367121168217N/A
12/31/20192,672144181233N/A
9/30/20192,593143169222N/A
6/30/20192,514143158211N/A
3/31/20192,559144131195N/A
12/31/20182,603145105178N/A
9/30/20182,691142N/A177N/A
6/30/20182,780139N/A176N/A
3/31/20182,748133N/A181N/A
12/31/20172,716128N/A186N/A
9/30/20172,667115N/A170N/A
6/30/20172,618103N/A154N/A
3/31/20172,56298N/A150N/A
12/31/20162,50793N/A145N/A
9/30/20162,43297N/A147N/A
6/30/20162,357101N/A148N/A
3/31/20162,28499N/A131N/A
12/31/20152,21297N/A113N/A
9/30/20152,18194N/A117N/A
6/30/20152,15091N/A121N/A
3/31/20152,11686N/A131N/A
12/31/20142,08280N/A141N/A
9/30/20142,04269N/A127N/A
6/30/20142,00357N/A113N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: GFTU's forecast earnings growth (8.5% per year) is above the savings rate (2.3%).

Earnings vs Market: GFTU's earnings (8.5% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the UK market (14.1% per year).

High Growth Earnings: GFTU's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: GFTU's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the UK market (3.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GFTU's revenue (6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GFTU's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.7%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/11 22:10
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/09 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Grafton Group plc is covered by 18 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harry GoadBerenberg
Aynsley LamminCanaccord Genuity
Ami GallaCitigroup Inc