Stock Analysis

Goodwin's (LON:GDWN) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

LSE:GDWN
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Goodwin PLC's (LON:GDWN) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to £0.575 on 6th of October. The payment will take the dividend yield to 2.5%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for Goodwin

Goodwin's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We like to see a healthy dividend yield, but that is only helpful to us if the payment can continue. Based on the last dividend, Goodwin is earning enough to cover the payment, but then it makes up 103% of cash flows. This signals that the company is more focused on returning cash flow to shareholders, but it could mean that the dividend is exposed to cuts in the future.

If the trend of the last few years continues, EPS will grow by 12.4% over the next 12 months. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 53% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
LSE:GDWN Historic Dividend August 11th 2023

Goodwin Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The annual payment during the last 10 years was £0.353 in 2013, and the most recent fiscal year payment was £1.15. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 13% a year over that time. We can see that payments have shown some very nice upward momentum without faltering, which provides some reassurance that future payments will also be reliable.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Goodwin has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 12% per annum. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.

In Summary

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We don't think Goodwin is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. For instance, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Goodwin that investors should take into consideration. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.