Stock Analysis

BAE Systems' (LON:BA.) Upcoming Dividend Will Be Larger Than Last Year's

LSE:BA.
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The board of BAE Systems plc (LON:BA.) has announced that it will be paying its dividend of £0.104 on the 30th of November, an increased payment from last year's comparable dividend. The payment will take the dividend yield to 3.3%, which is in line with the average for the industry.

Check out our latest analysis for BAE Systems

BAE Systems' Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

We aren't too impressed by dividend yields unless they can be sustained over time. Based on the last payment, BAE Systems was quite comfortably earning enough to cover the dividend. This means that a large portion of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Looking forward, earnings per share is forecast to rise by 54.0% over the next year. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 39%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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LSE:BA. Historic Dividend September 18th 2022

BAE Systems Has A Solid Track Record

The company has a sustained record of paying dividends with very little fluctuation. Since 2012, the annual payment back then was £0.188, compared to the most recent full-year payment of £0.256. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 3.1% per annum over that time. Although we can't deny that the dividend has been remarkably stable in the past, the growth has been pretty muted.

BAE Systems Could Grow Its Dividend

Investors could be attracted to the stock based on the quality of its payment history. It's encouraging to see that BAE Systems has been growing its earnings per share at 5.5% a year over the past five years. Earnings are on the uptrend, and it is only paying a small portion of those earnings to shareholders.

BAE Systems Looks Like A Great Dividend Stock

Overall, a dividend increase is always good, and we think that BAE Systems is a strong income stock thanks to its track record and growing earnings. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Companies that are growing earnings tend to be the best dividend stocks over the long term. See what the 14 analysts we track are forecasting for BAE Systems for free with public analyst estimates for the company. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.