Ariston Holding Valuation

Is 0ABE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0ABE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0ABE (€3.75) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€2.99)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0ABE is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0ABE?

Key metric: As 0ABE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0ABE. This is calculated by dividing 0ABE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0ABE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.3x
Earnings€57.70m
Market Cap€1.29b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0ABE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0ABE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.2x
FAN Volution Group
25.9x12.1%UK£1.1b
GEN Genuit Group
43.2x30.7%UK£1.0b
JHD James Halstead
19.2x4.1%UK£796.1m
NXR Norcros
8.7x-1.2%UK£232.5m
0ABE Ariston Holding
22.3x43.1%€1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0ABE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the peer average (24.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0ABE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0ABE 22.3xIndustry Avg. 19.5xNo. of Companies11PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0ABE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the European Building industry average (20x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0ABE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0ABE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.3x
Fair PE Ratio35.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0ABE is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (35.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0ABE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€3.75
€4.84
+29.2%
11.8%€5.80€4.00n/a9
Nov ’25€3.89
€4.82
+24.0%
12.8%€5.80€3.70n/a9
Oct ’25€4.39
€5.17
+17.6%
18.7%€7.00€3.70n/a9
Sep ’25€4.18
€5.40
+29.1%
21.6%€7.00€3.80n/a10
Aug ’25€3.73
€5.57
+49.2%
18.6%€7.00€4.00n/a10
Jul ’25€3.81
€6.30
+65.5%
13.5%€8.00€5.00n/a10
Jun ’25€4.67
€6.67
+42.9%
14.0%€8.40€5.40n/a10
May ’25€4.84
€6.95
+43.7%
12.9%€8.40€5.60n/a10
Apr ’25€5.21
€7.39
+42.0%
13.0%€9.00€5.70n/a10
Mar ’25€5.49
€7.94
+44.8%
11.7%€9.00€6.50n/a10
Feb ’25€6.04
€8.15
+35.0%
12.2%€9.40€6.50n/a10
Jan ’25€6.25
€8.43
+34.9%
19.1%€12.00€6.50n/a9
Dec ’24€5.72
€8.79
+53.8%
22.8%€12.20€6.50n/a9
Nov ’24€5.32
€9.37
+76.1%
23.9%€12.20€6.50€3.899
Oct ’24€6.20
€10.24
+65.4%
15.5%€12.20€7.70€4.399
Sep ’24€7.11
€11.36
+59.8%
12.0%€14.00€9.50€4.189
Aug ’24€8.52
€12.06
+41.5%
10.4%€14.00€10.20€3.739
Jul ’24€9.53
€12.16
+27.6%
10.1%€14.00€10.20€3.819
Jun ’24€10.16
€12.16
+19.6%
10.1%€14.00€10.20€4.679
May ’24€10.52
€11.92
+13.3%
10.5%€14.00€10.00€4.849
Apr ’24€9.26
€11.69
+26.2%
11.3%€14.00€10.00€5.218
Mar ’24n/a
€11.16
0%
10.3%€13.00€9.80€5.497
Feb ’24€9.54
€11.10
+16.4%
11.0%€13.00€9.80€6.046
Jan ’24€9.55
€10.81
+13.1%
14.8%€13.00€8.25€6.256
Dec ’23€9.23
€10.97
+18.8%
15.6%€13.00€8.25€5.725
Nov ’23n/a
€11.13
0%
14.6%€13.00€8.25€5.325

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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