Volution Group plc

LSE:FAN Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£1.1b

Volution Group Valuation

Is FAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FAN (£5.58) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£5.45)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FAN is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FAN?

Key metric: As FAN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FAN. This is calculated by dividing FAN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FAN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.8x
EarningsUK£42.80m
Market CapUK£1.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FAN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average24.7x
GEN Genuit Group
41.2x29.9%UK£972.0m
JHD James Halstead
18x4.1%UK£748.1m
NXR Norcros
25.5x41.7%UK£227.2m
ECEL Eurocell
14x22.3%UK£175.4m
FAN Volution Group
25.8x12.1%UK£1.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FAN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FAN 25.8xIndustry Avg. 20.1xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the European Building industry average (20x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FAN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FAN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.8x
Fair PE Ratio17.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£5.58
UK£6.46
+15.7%
6.9%UK£7.00UK£6.00n/a7
Dec ’25UK£5.56
UK£6.46
+16.1%
6.9%UK£7.00UK£6.00n/a7
Nov ’25UK£5.85
UK£6.46
+10.4%
6.9%UK£7.00UK£6.00n/a7
Oct ’25UK£5.90
UK£5.81
-1.5%
15.6%UK£7.00UK£4.30n/a8
Sep ’25UK£5.65
UK£5.21
-7.8%
10.3%UK£6.00UK£4.30n/a8
Aug ’25UK£5.31
UK£5.21
-1.9%
10.3%UK£6.00UK£4.30n/a8
Jul ’25UK£4.50
UK£4.95
+10.1%
6.0%UK£5.40UK£4.30n/a8
Jun ’25UK£4.51
UK£4.95
+9.7%
6.0%UK£5.40UK£4.30n/a8
May ’25UK£4.45
UK£4.95
+11.3%
6.0%UK£5.40UK£4.30n/a8
Apr ’25UK£4.35
UK£4.95
+13.8%
6.0%UK£5.40UK£4.30n/a8
Mar ’25UK£4.19
UK£4.68
+11.8%
8.6%UK£5.10UK£3.80n/a7
Feb ’25UK£4.26
UK£4.58
+7.5%
10.3%UK£5.10UK£3.80n/a8
Jan ’25UK£4.34
UK£4.46
+2.8%
9.0%UK£5.00UK£3.80n/a8
Dec ’24UK£4.01
UK£4.41
+10.0%
9.0%UK£5.00UK£3.80UK£5.568
Nov ’24UK£3.67
UK£4.38
+19.3%
8.7%UK£5.00UK£3.80UK£5.858
Oct ’24UK£3.62
UK£4.43
+22.4%
7.9%UK£5.00UK£3.82UK£5.907
Sep ’24UK£3.80
UK£4.49
+18.2%
8.6%UK£5.00UK£3.82UK£5.657
Aug ’24UK£4.02
UK£4.55
+13.2%
8.4%UK£5.00UK£3.82UK£5.316
Jul ’24UK£3.78
UK£4.63
+22.4%
6.4%UK£5.00UK£4.19UK£4.505
Jun ’24UK£4.41
UK£4.59
+4.0%
7.7%UK£5.00UK£4.00UK£4.515
May ’24UK£4.33
UK£4.35
+0.4%
14.4%UK£5.00UK£3.15UK£4.456
Apr ’24UK£4.31
UK£4.33
+0.7%
14.3%UK£5.00UK£3.15UK£4.356
Mar ’24UK£3.64
UK£4.07
+11.7%
14.5%UK£4.70UK£3.15UK£4.196
Feb ’24UK£3.80
UK£4.07
+7.0%
14.5%UK£4.70UK£3.15UK£4.266
Jan ’24UK£3.65
UK£3.90
+6.8%
14.6%UK£4.60UK£3.15UK£4.345
Dec ’23UK£3.56
UK£3.90
+9.7%
14.6%UK£4.60UK£3.15UK£4.015

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 06:18
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/07/31
Annual Earnings2024/07/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Volution Group plc is covered by 10 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Robert ChantryBerenberg
Aynsley LamminCanaccord Genuity
Florence O'DonoghueDavy