James Halstead plc

AIM:JHD Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£735.6m

James Halstead Valuation

Is JHD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of JHD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: JHD (£1.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.92)

Significantly Below Fair Value: JHD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for JHD?

Key metric: As JHD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for JHD. This is calculated by dividing JHD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is JHD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.7x
EarningsUK£41.52m
Market CapUK£735.63m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does JHD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for JHD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.4x
GEN Genuit Group
40.3x29.9%UK£955.8m
FAN Volution Group
25.6x12.1%UK£1.1b
NXR Norcros
25.4x41.7%UK£227.2m
ECEL Eurocell
14.2x22.3%UK£178.5m
JHD James Halstead
17.7x4.1%UK£735.6m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: JHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (26.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does JHD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Building Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
JHD 17.7xIndustry Avg. 20.0xNo. of Companies12PE01224364860+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: JHD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the European Building industry average (20x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is JHD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

JHD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.7x
Fair PE Ratio14x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: JHD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst JHD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.77
UK£3.00
+70.0%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Dec ’25UK£1.80
UK£3.00
+66.7%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Nov ’25UK£1.96
UK£3.00
+53.1%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Oct ’25UK£1.84
UK£3.00
+63.0%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Sep ’25UK£1.80
UK£3.00
+66.7%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Aug ’25UK£1.91
UK£2.93
+53.6%
6.4%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a3
Jul ’25UK£1.80
UK£3.00
+66.7%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Jun ’25UK£1.91
UK£3.00
+57.1%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
May ’25UK£2.04
UK£3.00
+47.1%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Apr ’25UK£2.01
UK£3.00
+49.3%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Mar ’25UK£1.95
UK£3.00
+53.8%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Feb ’25UK£1.99
UK£3.00
+51.1%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Jan ’25UK£2.04
UK£3.00
+47.1%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80n/a2
Dec ’24UK£2.03
UK£3.00
+47.8%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.802
Nov ’24UK£1.93
UK£3.00
+55.8%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.962
Oct ’24UK£2.07
UK£3.00
+44.9%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.842
Sep ’24UK£1.98
UK£3.00
+51.5%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.802
Aug ’24UK£2.10
UK£3.00
+42.9%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.912
Jul ’24UK£2.11
UK£3.00
+42.2%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.802
Jun ’24UK£2.15
UK£3.00
+39.5%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.912
May ’24UK£2.08
UK£3.00
+44.2%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£2.042
Apr ’24UK£1.83
UK£3.00
+63.9%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£2.012
Mar ’24UK£1.98
UK£3.00
+51.3%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.952
Feb ’24UK£1.84
UK£3.00
+63.0%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£1.992
Jan ’24UK£1.88
UK£3.00
+59.6%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£2.042
Dec ’23UK£1.94
UK£3.00
+54.6%
6.7%UK£3.20UK£2.80UK£2.032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 18:39
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

James Halstead plc is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Adrian KearseyPanmure Liberum
Adrian KearseyPanmure Liberum
Adrian KearseyPanmure Liberum Historic (Panmure Gordon)