Vossloh Valuation

Is VOSD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOSD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOSD (€41.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€56.65)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOSD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOSD?

Key metric: As VOSD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VOSD. This is calculated by dividing VOSD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VOSD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.7x
Earnings€41.70m
Market Cap€736.82m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOSD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOSD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average23.3x
SOM Somero Enterprises
7.9xn/aUK£147.2m
MGAM Morgan Advanced Materials
10.6x11.3%UK£735.5m
JDG Judges Scientific
44x25.3%UK£559.3m
GDWN Goodwin
30.5xn/aUK£515.2m
VOSD Vossloh
17.7x15.4%€736.8m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOSD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the peer average (30.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOSD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies29PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOSD is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.7x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (14.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOSD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOSD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VOSD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOSD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€56.48
0%
6.8%€61.00€48.50n/a8
Nov ’25n/a
€56.48
0%
6.8%€61.00€48.50n/a8
Oct ’25n/a
€56.73
0%
6.7%€61.00€48.50n/a8
Sep ’25n/a
€55.10
0%
8.4%€60.00€47.00n/a8
Aug ’25n/a
€55.10
0%
8.4%€60.00€47.00n/a8
Jul ’25n/a
€53.29
0%
7.2%€58.00€47.00n/a8
Jun ’25n/a
€52.73
0%
6.6%€58.00€47.00n/a8
May ’25€43.98
€51.98
+18.2%
6.0%€58.00€47.00n/a8
Apr ’25€45.70
€51.75
+13.2%
5.8%€58.00€47.00n/a9
Mar ’25€40.50
€48.97
+20.9%
7.6%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Feb ’25€40.93
€48.97
+19.7%
7.6%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Jan ’25n/a
€48.97
0%
7.6%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Dec ’24n/a
€49.09
0%
7.2%€53.25€42.00n/a8
Nov ’24n/a
€48.94
0%
6.9%€52.00€42.00n/a8
Oct ’24n/a
€48.81
0%
6.9%€52.00€42.00n/a8
Sep ’24n/a
€48.81
0%
6.9%€52.00€42.00n/a8
Aug ’24n/a
€48.56
0%
8.0%€52.00€40.00n/a8
Jul ’24n/a
€48.48
0%
7.9%€52.00€40.00n/a8
Jun ’24n/a
€47.86
0%
7.3%€51.37€40.00n/a8
May ’24n/a
€47.36
0%
7.3%€51.00€40.00€43.987
Apr ’24n/a
€45.50
0%
6.6%€49.00€40.00€45.706
Mar ’24n/a
€45.00
0%
8.7%€50.00€38.00€40.506
Feb ’24n/a
€45.00
0%
8.7%€50.00€38.00€40.936
Jan ’24n/a
€46.43
0%
14.0%€58.00€35.00n/a7
Dec ’23n/a
€46.43
0%
14.0%€58.00€35.00n/a7
Nov ’23n/a
€46.29
0%
14.2%€58.00€35.00n/a7

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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