Morgan Advanced Materials plc

LSE:MGAM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£812.4m

Morgan Advanced Materials Valuation

Is MGAM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MGAM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MGAM (£2.86) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£2.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MGAM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MGAM?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

MGAM key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.2x
PEG Ratio0.7x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MGAM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MGAM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average33x
JDG Judges Scientific
76.5x25.3%UK£727.0m
VSVS Vesuvius
10.6x9.6%UK£1.3b
BOY Bodycote
15.2x9.0%UK£1.3b
GDWN Goodwin
29.8xn/aUK£473.1m
MGAM Morgan Advanced Materials
17.4x24.8%UK£812.4m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MGAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the peer average (33x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MGAM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MGAM is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (16.8x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MGAM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MGAM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.4x
Fair PE Ratio23.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MGAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MGAM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.86
UK£3.67
+28.4%
9.6%UK£4.25UK£3.15n/a9
Apr ’25UK£2.85
UK£3.67
+28.7%
9.6%UK£4.25UK£3.15n/a9
Mar ’25UK£2.65
UK£3.68
+38.8%
11.6%UK£4.50UK£3.15n/a9
Feb ’25UK£2.71
UK£3.68
+35.7%
11.6%UK£4.50UK£3.15n/a9
Jan ’25UK£2.83
UK£3.55
+25.3%
18.8%UK£4.50UK£2.10n/a10
Dec ’24UK£2.56
UK£3.55
+38.7%
18.8%UK£4.50UK£2.10n/a10
Nov ’24UK£2.22
UK£3.58
+61.6%
19.8%UK£4.75UK£2.10n/a10
Oct ’24UK£2.45
UK£3.71
+51.4%
17.8%UK£4.75UK£2.10n/a10
Sep ’24UK£2.61
UK£3.71
+42.4%
17.8%UK£4.75UK£2.10n/a10
Aug ’24UK£2.76
UK£3.81
+38.1%
18.4%UK£4.90UK£2.20n/a10
Jul ’24UK£2.75
UK£3.83
+39.6%
18.6%UK£4.90UK£2.20n/a9
Jun ’24UK£2.87
UK£3.83
+33.8%
18.6%UK£4.90UK£2.20n/a9
May ’24UK£3.07
UK£3.77
+23.1%
15.6%UK£4.30UK£2.35n/a9
Apr ’24UK£2.83
UK£3.77
+33.4%
16.1%UK£4.37UK£2.35UK£2.859
Mar ’24UK£3.10
UK£3.81
+22.8%
15.4%UK£4.37UK£2.35UK£2.659
Feb ’24UK£3.16
UK£3.88
+22.6%
16.4%UK£4.68UK£2.35UK£2.719
Jan ’24UK£3.15
UK£3.82
+21.5%
17.2%UK£4.68UK£2.35UK£2.839
Dec ’23UK£3.05
UK£3.82
+25.5%
17.2%UK£4.68UK£2.35UK£2.569
Nov ’23UK£2.49
UK£3.93
+57.9%
19.7%UK£4.85UK£2.35UK£2.229
Oct ’23UK£2.27
UK£3.96
+74.6%
17.9%UK£4.85UK£2.65UK£2.459
Sep ’23UK£2.51
UK£4.01
+60.3%
16.7%UK£4.85UK£2.65UK£2.619
Aug ’23UK£3.15
UK£4.03
+28.0%
18.6%UK£4.85UK£2.35UK£2.769
Jul ’23UK£2.77
UK£4.23
+52.8%
13.4%UK£4.90UK£3.30UK£2.759
Jun ’23UK£3.21
UK£4.23
+31.7%
13.4%UK£4.90UK£3.30UK£2.879
May ’23UK£2.83
UK£4.31
+52.4%
13.2%UK£4.85UK£3.30UK£3.0710
Apr ’23UK£3.08
UK£4.31
+40.0%
13.2%UK£4.85UK£3.30UK£2.8310

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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