Morgan Advanced Materials plc

LSE:MGAM Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£727.2m

Morgan Advanced Materials Valuation

Is MGAM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MGAM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MGAM (£2.56) is trading above our estimate of fair value (£2.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MGAM is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MGAM?

Key metric: As MGAM is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MGAM. This is calculated by dividing MGAM's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MGAM's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsUK£69.20m
Market CapUK£727.20m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MGAM's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MGAM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average27.7x
VSVS Vesuvius
9.4x12.5%UK£974.7m
JDG Judges Scientific
53.6x23.0%UK£680.8m
BOY Bodycote
16.8x21.3%UK£1.1b
GDWN Goodwin
30.9xn/aUK£522.7m
MGAM Morgan Advanced Materials
10.5x11.3%UK£727.2m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MGAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (27.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MGAM's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
MGAM 10.5xIndustry Avg. 17.7xNo. of Companies29PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MGAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MGAM's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MGAM PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: MGAM is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MGAM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£2.56
UK£3.28
+28.2%
7.1%UK£3.60UK£2.95n/a8
Nov ’25UK£2.42
UK£3.66
+51.1%
11.0%UK£4.25UK£2.95n/a8
Oct ’25UK£2.75
UK£3.69
+34.3%
9.3%UK£4.25UK£3.20n/a8
Sep ’25UK£3.09
UK£3.74
+21.2%
8.4%UK£4.25UK£3.25n/a9
Aug ’25UK£3.31
UK£3.69
+11.8%
8.5%UK£4.25UK£3.25n/a9
Jul ’25UK£3.12
UK£3.68
+18.1%
9.0%UK£4.25UK£3.15n/a9
Jun ’25UK£3.09
UK£3.68
+19.2%
9.0%UK£4.25UK£3.15n/a9
May ’25UK£3.13
UK£3.68
+17.9%
9.0%UK£4.25UK£3.15n/a9
Apr ’25UK£2.85
UK£3.67
+28.7%
9.6%UK£4.25UK£3.15n/a9
Mar ’25UK£2.65
UK£3.68
+38.8%
11.6%UK£4.50UK£3.15n/a9
Feb ’25UK£2.71
UK£3.68
+35.7%
11.6%UK£4.50UK£3.15n/a9
Jan ’25UK£2.83
UK£3.55
+25.3%
18.8%UK£4.50UK£2.10n/a10
Dec ’24UK£2.56
UK£3.55
+38.7%
18.8%UK£4.50UK£2.10n/a10
Nov ’24UK£2.22
UK£3.58
+61.6%
19.8%UK£4.75UK£2.10UK£2.4210
Oct ’24UK£2.45
UK£3.71
+51.4%
17.8%UK£4.75UK£2.10UK£2.7510
Sep ’24UK£2.61
UK£3.71
+42.4%
17.8%UK£4.75UK£2.10UK£3.0910
Aug ’24UK£2.76
UK£3.81
+38.1%
18.4%UK£4.90UK£2.20UK£3.3110
Jul ’24UK£2.75
UK£3.83
+39.6%
18.6%UK£4.90UK£2.20UK£3.129
Jun ’24UK£2.87
UK£3.83
+33.8%
18.6%UK£4.90UK£2.20UK£3.099
May ’24UK£3.07
UK£3.77
+23.1%
15.6%UK£4.30UK£2.35UK£3.139
Apr ’24UK£2.83
UK£3.77
+33.4%
16.1%UK£4.37UK£2.35UK£2.859
Mar ’24UK£3.10
UK£3.81
+22.8%
15.4%UK£4.37UK£2.35UK£2.659
Feb ’24UK£3.16
UK£3.88
+22.6%
16.4%UK£4.68UK£2.35UK£2.719
Jan ’24UK£3.15
UK£3.82
+21.5%
17.2%UK£4.68UK£2.35UK£2.839
Dec ’23UK£3.05
UK£3.82
+25.5%
17.2%UK£4.68UK£2.35UK£2.569
Nov ’23UK£2.49
UK£3.93
+57.9%
19.7%UK£4.85UK£2.35UK£2.229

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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