Vesuvius Valuation

Is VSVS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VSVS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VSVS (£4.86) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£15.27)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VSVS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VSVS?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

VSVS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA6.2x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VSVS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VSVS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.5x
BOY Bodycote
15.1x9.6%UK£1.3b
MGAM Morgan Advanced Materials
17.3x24.8%UK£805.7m
JDG Judges Scientific
72.5x25.3%UK£688.3m
ROR Rotork
25x9.1%UK£2.8b
VSVS Vesuvius
10.9x9.5%UK£1.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VSVS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the peer average (32.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VSVS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a13.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VSVS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (16.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VSVS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VSVS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.9x
Fair PE Ratio16.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: VSVS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VSVS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£4.86
UK£5.48
+12.8%
16.5%UK£7.00UK£3.85n/a10
Mar ’25UK£4.74
UK£5.28
+11.4%
14.8%UK£6.75UK£3.85n/a10
Feb ’25UK£4.77
UK£5.28
+10.6%
14.8%UK£6.75UK£3.85n/a10
Jan ’25UK£4.81
UK£5.10
+6.1%
13.3%UK£6.20UK£3.85n/a11
Dec ’24UK£4.33
UK£5.11
+18.2%
13.2%UK£6.20UK£3.85n/a11
Nov ’24UK£4.05
UK£5.13
+26.8%
12.8%UK£6.20UK£3.85n/a11
Oct ’24UK£4.34
UK£5.09
+17.2%
13.1%UK£6.20UK£3.85n/a11
Sep ’24UK£4.42
UK£5.09
+15.2%
13.1%UK£6.20UK£3.85n/a11
Aug ’24UK£4.43
UK£5.06
+14.1%
12.3%UK£6.00UK£3.85n/a11
Jul ’24UK£3.98
UK£4.98
+25.0%
12.4%UK£6.00UK£3.85n/a12
Jun ’24UK£4.14
UK£4.98
+20.4%
12.4%UK£6.00UK£3.85n/a12
May ’24UK£4.05
UK£4.89
+20.5%
11.2%UK£5.85UK£3.85n/a12
Apr ’24UK£4.14
UK£5.02
+21.3%
8.8%UK£5.85UK£4.40n/a11
Mar ’24UK£4.23
UK£4.79
+13.3%
13.1%UK£5.65UK£3.45UK£4.7412
Feb ’24UK£4.14
UK£4.71
+13.7%
12.7%UK£5.65UK£3.45UK£4.7711
Jan ’24UK£4.04
UK£4.78
+18.2%
12.7%UK£5.95UK£3.45UK£4.8111
Dec ’23UK£3.90
UK£4.78
+22.5%
12.7%UK£5.95UK£3.45UK£4.3311
Nov ’23UK£3.50
UK£4.69
+33.9%
15.0%UK£5.45UK£3.10UK£4.0510
Oct ’23UK£3.09
UK£4.71
+52.2%
14.6%UK£5.45UK£3.10UK£4.3410
Sep ’23UK£3.37
UK£4.71
+39.8%
14.6%UK£5.45UK£3.10UK£4.4210
Aug ’23UK£3.45
UK£4.69
+36.0%
14.3%UK£5.40UK£3.10UK£4.4310
Jul ’23UK£3.03
UK£4.90
+61.6%
9.6%UK£5.70UK£3.75UK£3.9811
Jun ’23UK£3.61
UK£4.98
+38.0%
15.6%UK£7.05UK£3.75UK£4.1412
May ’23UK£3.23
UK£5.18
+60.0%
16.6%UK£7.05UK£3.75UK£4.0512
Apr ’23UK£3.44
UK£5.33
+54.8%
15.7%UK£7.05UK£3.75UK£4.1412
Mar ’23UK£3.74
UK£5.66
+51.1%
10.0%UK£7.05UK£4.85UK£4.2312

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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