Stadler Rail AG

BATS-CHIXE:SRAILZ Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 2.0b

Stadler Rail Valuation

Is SRAILZ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SRAILZ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SRAILZ (CHF19.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF35.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SRAILZ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SRAILZ?

Key metric: As SRAILZ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SRAILZ. This is calculated by dividing SRAILZ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SRAILZ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.1x
EarningsCHF 122.69m
Market CapCHF 1.98b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SRAILZ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SRAILZ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average15.2x
SOM Somero Enterprises
9.1xn/aUK£170.2m
VSVS Vesuvius
10.3x10.0%UK£1.1b
BOY Bodycote
18.7x23.5%UK£1.2b
ROR Rotork
22.5x10.0%UK£2.7b
SRAILZ Stadler Rail
16.1x22.9%CHF 2.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SRAILZ is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (15.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SRAILZ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies29PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SRAILZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SRAILZ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SRAILZ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.1x
Fair PE Ratio23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SRAILZ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SRAILZ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 19.74
CHF 20.60
+4.4%
8.6%CHF 23.20CHF 17.00n/a7
Dec ’25CHF 19.42
CHF 20.69
+6.5%
8.5%CHF 23.20CHF 17.00n/a7
Nov ’25CHF 25.00
CHF 27.64
+10.6%
10.5%CHF 34.10CHF 25.00n/a7
Oct ’25CHF 26.35
CHF 27.64
+4.9%
10.5%CHF 34.10CHF 25.00n/a7
Sep ’25CHF 28.05
CHF 27.64
-1.5%
10.5%CHF 34.10CHF 25.00n/a7
Aug ’25CHF 26.95
CHF 28.16
+4.5%
9.7%CHF 34.10CHF 25.00n/a7
Jul ’25CHF 25.55
CHF 29.70
+16.2%
14.8%CHF 39.00CHF 25.00n/a8
Jun ’25CHF 27.60
CHF 30.62
+10.9%
14.2%CHF 39.00CHF 25.00n/a10
May ’25CHF 27.50
CHF 30.62
+11.3%
14.2%CHF 39.00CHF 25.00n/a10
Apr ’25CHF 28.76
CHF 30.62
+6.5%
14.2%CHF 39.00CHF 25.00n/a10
Mar ’25CHF 28.48
CHF 32.67
+14.7%
16.2%CHF 42.00CHF 25.00n/a10
Feb ’25CHF 27.48
CHF 32.67
+18.9%
16.2%CHF 42.00CHF 25.00n/a10
Jan ’25CHF 30.27
CHF 34.62
+14.4%
14.4%CHF 42.00CHF 25.50n/a10
Dec ’24CHF 32.72
CHF 35.32
+7.9%
13.8%CHF 42.00CHF 25.50CHF 19.4210
Nov ’24CHF 30.64
CHF 35.18
+14.8%
15.5%CHF 42.00CHF 25.50CHF 25.009
Oct ’24CHF 35.76
CHF 35.18
-1.6%
15.5%CHF 42.00CHF 25.50CHF 26.359
Sep ’24CHF 35.40
CHF 34.61
-2.2%
15.7%CHF 42.00CHF 25.50CHF 28.059
Aug ’24CHF 35.26
CHF 33.89
-3.9%
17.9%CHF 42.00CHF 22.00CHF 26.959
Jul ’24CHF 34.86
CHF 33.61
-3.6%
18.2%CHF 42.00CHF 22.00CHF 25.559
Jun ’24CHF 34.24
CHF 33.61
-1.8%
18.2%CHF 42.00CHF 22.00CHF 27.609
May ’24CHF 37.04
CHF 33.61
-9.3%
18.2%CHF 42.00CHF 22.00CHF 27.509
Apr ’24CHF 35.78
CHF 33.61
-6.1%
18.2%CHF 42.00CHF 22.00CHF 28.769
Mar ’24CHF 37.86
CHF 35.00
-7.6%
20.3%CHF 43.00CHF 22.00CHF 28.489
Feb ’24CHF 34.94
CHF 35.00
+0.2%
20.3%CHF 43.00CHF 22.00CHF 27.489
Jan ’24CHF 33.02
CHF 34.22
+3.6%
21.9%CHF 43.00CHF 22.00CHF 30.279
Dec ’23CHF 32.84
CHF 35.69
+8.7%
23.0%CHF 49.00CHF 22.00CHF 32.7210

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/18 13:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/18 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Stadler Rail AG is covered by 16 analysts. 7 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jonathan MounseyBNP Paribas Exane
Alexander VirgoBofA Global Research
Vivek MidhaCitigroup Inc