Kier Group plc

BATS-CHIXE:KIEL Stock Report

Market Cap: UK£684.7m

Kier Group Valuation

Is KIEL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of KIEL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: KIEL (£1.51) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£1.77)

Significantly Below Fair Value: KIEL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for KIEL?

Key metric: As KIEL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for KIEL. This is calculated by dividing KIEL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is KIEL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.4x
EarningsUK£51.00m
Market CapUK£684.72m

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does KIEL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for KIEL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.3x
RNWH Renew Holdings
17x3.6%UK£843.6m
KLR Keller Group
8.7x2.4%UK£1.1b
GFRD Galliford Try Holdings
10.4x1.8%UK£379.4m
COST Costain Group
9x13.0%UK£276.0m
KIEL Kier Group
13.4x14.7%UK£684.7m

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: KIEL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the peer average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does KIEL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Construction Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies18PE01020304050+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: KIEL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the European Construction industry average (12.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is KIEL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

KIEL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.4x
Fair PE Ratio17.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: KIEL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst KIEL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£1.52
UK£2.04
+33.7%
14.2%UK£2.50UK£1.59n/a5
Nov ’25UK£1.42
UK£2.04
+43.3%
14.2%UK£2.50UK£1.59n/a5
Oct ’25UK£1.38
UK£2.04
+48.1%
14.2%UK£2.50UK£1.59n/a5
Sep ’25UK£1.52
UK£2.02
+32.4%
14.6%UK£2.50UK£1.59n/a5
Aug ’25UK£1.56
UK£2.02
+29.5%
14.6%UK£2.50UK£1.59n/a5
Jul ’25UK£1.33
UK£1.99
+49.3%
16.8%UK£2.50UK£1.46n/a5
Jun ’25UK£1.47
UK£1.93
+30.9%
17.6%UK£2.50UK£1.46n/a6
May ’25UK£1.34
UK£1.93
+43.8%
17.6%UK£2.50UK£1.46n/a6
Apr ’25UK£1.32
UK£1.93
+46.3%
17.6%UK£2.50UK£1.46n/a6
Mar ’25UK£1.38
UK£1.66
+19.9%
15.1%UK£2.10UK£1.33n/a6
Feb ’25UK£1.26
UK£1.63
+29.0%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a4
Jan ’25UK£1.08
UK£1.63
+51.0%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a4
Dec ’24UK£1.10
UK£1.63
+48.0%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50n/a4
Nov ’24UK£1.02
UK£1.63
+59.6%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50UK£1.424
Oct ’24UK£1.15
UK£1.63
+41.8%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50UK£1.384
Sep ’24UK£0.84
UK£1.55
+84.7%
5.6%UK£1.70UK£1.50UK£1.524
Aug ’24UK£0.87
UK£1.55
+77.8%
5.6%UK£1.70UK£1.50UK£1.564
Jul ’24UK£0.75
UK£1.55
+107.5%
5.6%UK£1.70UK£1.50UK£1.334
Jun ’24UK£0.80
UK£1.55
+93.0%
5.6%UK£1.70UK£1.50UK£1.474
May ’24UK£0.77
UK£1.55
+102.3%
5.6%UK£1.70UK£1.50UK£1.344
Apr ’24UK£0.69
UK£1.55
+126.3%
5.6%UK£1.70UK£1.50UK£1.324
Mar ’24UK£0.77
UK£1.63
+111.6%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50UK£1.384
Feb ’24UK£0.69
UK£1.63
+134.8%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50UK£1.264
Jan ’24UK£0.60
UK£1.63
+172.7%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50UK£1.084
Dec ’23UK£0.64
UK£1.63
+153.5%
8.0%UK£1.80UK£1.50UK£1.104
Nov ’23UK£0.59
UK£1.75
+195.4%
10.3%UK£2.00UK£1.50UK£1.024

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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