Daimler Truck Holding AG

BATS-CHIXE:DTGD Stock Report

Market Cap: €27.9b

Daimler Truck Holding Valuation

Is DTGD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DTGD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DTGD (€34.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€54.21)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DTGD is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DTGD?

Key metric: As DTGD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DTGD. This is calculated by dividing DTGD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DTGD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.3x
Earnings€3.35b
Market Cap€27.95b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DTGD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DTGD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.2x
AHT Ashtead Group
22.4x1.8%UK£27.4b
BA. BAE Systems
20x7.8%UK£36.7b
WEIR Weir Group
26x18.4%UK£5.7b
RR. Rolls-Royce Holdings
20.2x-0.09%UK£47.2b
DTGD Daimler Truck Holding
8.3x13.1%€27.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DTGD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the peer average (22.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DTGD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies30PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DTGD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.3x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DTGD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DTGD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DTGD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DTGD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€34.25
€46.44
+35.6%
15.4%€56.00€35.00n/a17
Nov ’25€37.57
€46.91
+24.9%
14.9%€56.00€35.00n/a17
Oct ’25€33.55
€47.08
+40.4%
14.5%€56.00€35.00n/a18
Sep ’25€34.66
€48.18
+39.0%
12.7%€56.00€35.00n/a18
Aug ’25€34.90
€50.46
+44.6%
12.5%€61.00€35.00n/a18
Jul ’25€36.63
€52.41
+43.1%
12.8%€61.00€35.00n/a18
Jun ’25€38.97
€52.85
+35.6%
12.9%€63.00€35.00n/a18
May ’25€42.13
€53.22
+26.3%
13.1%€65.00€35.00n/a18
Apr ’25€46.65
€51.88
+11.2%
15.6%€65.00€35.00n/a17
Mar ’25€44.30
€43.40
-2.0%
12.5%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Feb ’25€33.25
€43.22
+30.0%
12.5%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Jan ’25n/a
€43.26
0%
12.9%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Dec ’24€29.89
€43.02
+43.9%
12.4%€53.00€31.00n/a17
Nov ’24n/a
€43.94
0%
14.0%€58.00€31.00€37.5718
Oct ’24€32.75
€43.89
+34.0%
14.0%€58.00€31.00€33.5518
Sep ’24n/a
€43.59
0%
14.2%€58.00€31.00€34.6617
Aug ’24€34.05
€42.61
+25.1%
14.3%€56.00€31.00€34.9017
Jul ’24€32.61
€41.62
+27.6%
15.6%€56.00€31.00€36.6316
Jun ’24€28.11
€41.16
+46.4%
15.7%€56.00€31.00€38.9717
May ’24€29.92
€40.16
+34.2%
13.5%€53.00€31.00€42.1317
Apr ’24€30.49
€39.92
+30.9%
13.2%€53.00€31.00€46.6517
Mar ’24€30.23
€39.52
+30.7%
14.0%€53.00€31.00€44.3016
Feb ’24€30.98
€39.52
+27.6%
14.0%€53.00€31.00€33.2516
Jan ’24n/a
€39.71
0%
14.6%€53.00€31.00n/a16
Dec ’23€31.21
€39.46
+26.4%
14.9%€53.00€31.00€29.8916
Nov ’23€26.93
€38.27
+42.1%
17.6%€53.00€26.00n/a15

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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