Deere Valuation

Is DCOD undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DCOD when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DCOD (€377.1) is trading below our estimate of fair value (€398.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DCOD is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DCOD?

Key metric: As DCOD is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DCOD. This is calculated by dividing DCOD's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DCOD's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio13.5x
EarningsUS$8.22b
Market CapUS$109.15b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DCOD's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DCOD vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.8x
RR. Rolls-Royce Holdings
19.1x-0.09%UK£45.6b
BA. BAE Systems
21.3x7.7%UK£38.8b
AHT Ashtead Group
21.8x1.8%UK£27.1b
WEIR Weir Group
24.8x19.0%UK£5.6b
DCOD Deere
13.5x-7.1%€109.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DCOD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the peer average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DCOD's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies27PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DCOD is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (13.5x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DCOD's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DCOD PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio13.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DCOD's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DCOD forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentn/a
€381.72
0%
10.2%€456.82€313.14n/a22
Oct ’25n/a
€370.12
0%
9.8%€446.84€306.92n/a22
Sep ’25n/a
€370.35
0%
9.2%€442.28€303.79n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
€384.22
0%
8.8%€454.71€313.24n/a22
Jul ’25n/a
€394.12
0%
8.8%€462.53€318.63n/a24
Jun ’25n/a
€390.40
0%
8.9%€456.29€312.49n/a23
May ’25n/a
€396.18
0%
9.1%€465.84€323.74n/a26
Apr ’25n/a
€381.97
0%
8.5%€451.32€314.28n/a26
Mar ’25n/a
€383.04
0%
7.7%€445.33€317.17n/a26
Feb ’25n/a
€387.36
0%
8.2%€450.06€321.34n/a25
Jan ’25n/a
€392.35
0%
8.4%€458.00€334.44n/a24
Dec ’24€338.60
€387.03
+14.3%
8.8%€449.32€328.10n/a24
Nov ’24n/a
€414.31
0%
8.6%€481.90€358.12n/a24
Oct ’24€364.90
€415.36
+13.8%
8.4%€479.04€355.99n/a24
Sep ’24n/a
€413.15
0%
9.9%€505.71€347.85n/a24
Aug ’24n/a
€407.57
0%
11.5%€506.69€332.06n/a24
Jul ’24n/a
€409.40
0%
11.4%€515.26€337.68n/a24
Jun ’24n/a
€416.79
0%
11.0%€522.54€342.45n/a25
May ’24€337.90
€436.39
+29.1%
10.0%€544.13€339.74n/a25
Apr ’24€376.20
€435.81
+15.8%
9.8%€544.84€340.18n/a25
Mar ’24n/a
€447.09
0%
9.9%€557.14€347.86n/a24
Feb ’24n/a
€440.00
0%
11.1%€548.71€338.47n/a23
Jan ’24n/a
€440.00
0%
11.1%€548.71€338.47n/a23
Dec ’23n/a
€431.75
0%
13.3%€552.90€324.90€338.6023
Nov ’23n/a
€406.48
0%
9.5%€469.44€301.13n/a22

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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