Bunzl Valuation

Is BNZLL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of BNZLL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: BNZLL (£34.82) is trading below our estimate of fair value (£38.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: BNZLL is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for BNZLL?

Key metric: As BNZLL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for BNZLL. This is calculated by dividing BNZLL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is BNZLL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.7x
EarningsUK£487.70m
Market CapUK£11.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does BNZLL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for BNZLL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.9x
DPLM Diploma
46.7x14.3%UK£6.0b
HWDN Howden Joinery Group
17.7x6.0%UK£4.5b
AHT Ashtead Group
22.5x1.8%UK£27.6b
RS1 RS Group
20.5x18.4%UK£3.4b
BNZLL Bunzl
23.7x7.0%UK£11.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: BNZLL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the peer average (26.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does BNZLL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Trade Distributors Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies10PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: BNZLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the European Trade Distributors industry average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is BNZLL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

BNZLL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.7x
Fair PE Ratio20.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: BNZLL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst BNZLL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUK£35.20
UK£35.03
-0.5%
10.2%UK£40.00UK£28.00n/a16
Nov ’25UK£34.33
UK£35.03
+2.0%
10.2%UK£40.00UK£28.00n/a16
Oct ’25UK£35.25
UK£34.39
-2.4%
9.7%UK£40.00UK£28.00n/a16
Sep ’25UK£35.42
UK£33.92
-4.2%
10.6%UK£40.00UK£26.00n/a16
Aug ’25UK£32.25
UK£32.29
+0.1%
11.4%UK£38.00UK£26.00n/a17
Jul ’25UK£30.04
UK£31.95
+6.4%
11.4%UK£37.00UK£26.00n/a17
Jun ’25UK£29.56
UK£31.67
+7.1%
11.3%UK£37.00UK£26.00n/a17
May ’25UK£30.49
UK£31.66
+3.8%
11.4%UK£37.00UK£26.00n/a17
Apr ’25UK£30.50
UK£31.50
+3.3%
11.4%UK£37.00UK£26.00n/a17
Mar ’25UK£31.08
UK£31.46
+1.2%
12.0%UK£37.00UK£25.00n/a16
Feb ’25UK£31.93
UK£30.55
-4.3%
12.3%UK£37.00UK£25.00n/a15
Jan ’25UK£31.98
UK£30.17
-5.7%
12.0%UK£36.00UK£25.00n/a15
Dec ’24UK£30.02
UK£29.99
-0.1%
11.8%UK£36.00UK£25.00n/a15
Nov ’24UK£29.55
UK£29.99
+1.5%
11.8%UK£36.00UK£25.00UK£34.3315
Oct ’24UK£29.37
UK£29.63
+0.9%
12.3%UK£36.00UK£25.00UK£35.2516
Sep ’24UK£28.48
UK£29.72
+4.4%
12.2%UK£36.00UK£25.00UK£35.4217
Aug ’24UK£28.63
UK£30.17
+5.4%
12.3%UK£36.00UK£25.00UK£32.2518
Jul ’24UK£30.22
UK£30.33
+0.4%
11.7%UK£36.00UK£25.00UK£30.0418
Jun ’24UK£31.72
UK£30.72
-3.1%
11.5%UK£36.07UK£25.00UK£29.5619
May ’24UK£31.57
UK£30.35
-3.9%
11.5%UK£36.07UK£24.70UK£30.4918
Apr ’24UK£30.55
UK£29.98
-1.9%
11.1%UK£36.07UK£24.70UK£30.5017
Mar ’24UK£29.85
UK£29.79
-0.2%
12.0%UK£36.07UK£23.40UK£31.0818
Feb ’24UK£29.76
UK£29.33
-1.5%
11.9%UK£36.07UK£23.40UK£31.9318
Jan ’24UK£27.62
UK£29.36
+6.3%
12.4%UK£36.07UK£22.50UK£31.9819
Dec ’23UK£30.44
UK£29.47
-3.2%
12.7%UK£36.07UK£22.50UK£30.0219
Nov ’23UK£28.38
UK£29.41
+3.6%
12.4%UK£35.00UK£22.50UK£29.5519

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies