Stock Analysis

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In FW Thorpe Plc's (LON:TFW) Stock?

AIM:TFW
Source: Shutterstock

Most readers would already be aware that FW Thorpe's (LON:TFW) stock increased significantly by 11% over the past three months. Since the market usually pay for a company’s long-term fundamentals, we decided to study the company’s key performance indicators to see if they could be influencing the market. Particularly, we will be paying attention to FW Thorpe's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for FW Thorpe

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for FW Thorpe is:

10% = UK£13m ÷ UK£128m (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each £1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made £0.10 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of FW Thorpe's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

To start with, FW Thorpe's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 12%. FW Thorpe's decent returns aren't reflected in FW Thorpe'smediocre five year net income growth average of 4.7%. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are moderate could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

As a next step, we compared FW Thorpe's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 4.3% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
AIM:TFW Past Earnings Growth January 13th 2021

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about FW Thorpe's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is FW Thorpe Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 39% (or a retention ratio of 61% over the past three years, FW Thorpe has seen very little growth in earnings as we saw above. Therefore, there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, FW Thorpe has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with FW Thorpe's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. If the company continues to grow its earnings the way it has, that could have a positive impact on its share price given how earnings per share influence long-term share prices. Let's not forget, business risk is also one of the factors that affects the price of the stock. So this is also an important area that investors need to pay attention to before making a decision on any business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for FW Thorpe.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About AIM:TFW

FW Thorpe

Designs, manufactures, and supplies professional lighting equipment in the United Kingdom, Ireland, the United Arab Emirates, Australia, the Netherlands, Germany, France, Spain, rest of Europe, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet, good value and pays a dividend.