Stock Analysis

Close Brothers Group (LON:CBG) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year

LSE:CBG
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Close Brothers Group plc (LON:CBG) will increase its dividend on the 23rd of November to UK£0.42. This will take the annual payment from 3.9% to 3.9% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for Close Brothers Group

Close Brothers Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. Based on the last payment, Close Brothers Group's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. Since a dividend means the company is paying out cash to investors, this could prove to be a problem in the future.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to fall by 8.3%. If the dividend continues along the path it has been on recently, we estimate the payout ratio could be 48%, which is comfortable for the company to continue in the future.

historic-dividend
LSE:CBG Historic Dividend October 1st 2021

Dividend Volatility

While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from UK£0.39 in 2011 to the most recent annual payment of UK£0.60. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.4% a year over that time. Modest growth in the dividend is good to see, but we think this is offset by historical cuts to the payments. It is hard to live on a dividend income if the company's earnings are not consistent.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. However, Close Brothers Group's EPS was effectively flat over the past five years, which could stop the company from paying more every year. The company has been growing at a pretty soft 1.4% per annum, and is paying out quite a lot of its earnings to shareholders. This could mean the dividend doesn't have the growth potential we look for going into the future.

Our Thoughts On Close Brothers Group's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Close Brothers Group will make a great income stock. While Close Brothers Group is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. We don't think Close Brothers Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. To that end, Close Brothers Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about. We have also put together a list of global stocks with a solid dividend.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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