Volvo Car AB (publ.) Valuation

Is 0AAK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0AAK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0AAK (SEK31.25) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK71.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0AAK is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0AAK?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

0AAK key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA2.4x
PEG Ratio0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0AAK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0AAK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average6.2x
7202 Isuzu Motors
8.5x4.6%JP¥1.5t
2238 Guangzhou Automobile Group
7.1x11.6%HK$74.0b
7201 Nissan Motor
4.6x3.6%JP¥2.0t
7261 Mazda Motor
4.6x0.8%JP¥965.0b
0AAK Volvo Car AB (publ.)
7.3x22.0%kr92.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0AAK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (6.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0AAK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0AAK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (12.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0AAK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0AAK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio39.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 0AAK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 0AAK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Currentkr31.25
kr38.30
+22.6%
13.1%kr48.00kr32.00n/a10
Jun ’25kr34.70
kr39.18
+12.9%
13.1%kr48.00kr32.00n/a11
May ’25kr34.93
kr39.18
+12.2%
13.1%kr48.00kr32.00n/a11
Apr ’25kr40.82
kr37.82
-7.4%
14.0%kr48.00kr29.00n/a11
Mar ’25kr38.49
kr38.00
-1.3%
14.5%kr45.00kr29.00n/a10
Feb ’25kr33.85
kr37.22
+10.0%
17.9%kr50.00kr29.00n/a9
Jan ’25kr32.62
kr41.44
+27.0%
21.0%kr57.00kr32.00n/a9
Dec ’24kr33.94
kr43.11
+27.0%
20.4%kr57.00kr33.00n/a9
Nov ’24kr37.39
kr44.89
+20.1%
19.2%kr57.00kr33.00n/a9
Oct ’24kr44.53
kr46.44
+4.3%
16.6%kr57.00kr34.00n/a9
Sep ’24kr40.50
kr47.89
+18.2%
17.6%kr63.00kr34.00n/a9
Aug ’24kr51.23
kr47.44
-7.4%
18.2%kr63.00kr34.00n/a9
Jul ’24kr42.84
kr41.67
-2.7%
15.3%kr50.00kr31.00n/a9
Jun ’24kr37.67
kr41.67
+10.6%
15.3%kr50.00kr31.00kr34.709
May ’24kr41.94
kr43.22
+3.0%
15.6%kr52.00kr31.00kr34.939
Apr ’24kr45.20
kr48.44
+7.2%
15.3%kr60.00kr36.00kr40.829
Mar ’24kr48.47
kr49.11
+1.3%
14.8%kr60.00kr38.00kr38.499
Feb ’24kr53.69
kr49.72
-7.4%
14.9%kr60.00kr38.00kr33.859
Jan ’24kr47.38
kr49.67
+4.8%
17.3%kr60.00kr35.00kr32.629
Dec ’23kr51.76
kr49.33
-4.7%
17.7%kr60.00kr35.00kr33.949
Nov ’23kr49.49
kr52.11
+5.3%
21.7%kr73.00kr35.00kr37.399
Oct ’23kr48.73
kr63.13
+29.5%
13.6%kr73.00kr48.00kr44.538
Sep ’23kr64.77
kr71.00
+9.6%
15.9%kr90.00kr54.00kr40.508
Aug ’23kr75.54
kr71.50
-5.3%
16.0%kr90.00kr54.00kr51.238
Jul ’23kr67.95
kr72.50
+6.7%
16.0%kr90.00kr56.00kr42.848
Jun ’23kr85.00
kr74.38
-12.5%
12.9%kr90.00kr59.00kr37.678

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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