Volvo Car AB (publ.) Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of VOLCBS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

VOLCBS (SEK23.68) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (SEK74.25)

Is VOLCBS undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOLCBS when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOLCBS (SEK23.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value (SEK74.25)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOLCBS is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOLCBS?

Key metric: As VOLCBS is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VOLCBS. This is calculated by dividing VOLCBS's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VOLCBS's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	4.3x
Earnings	SEK 16.01b
Market Cap	SEK 69.60b

VOLCBS key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	2.2x
PEG Ratio	0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOLCBS's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOLCBS vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	8.5x
7211 Mitsubishi Motors	6.2x	0.4%	JP¥776.2b
TIFS TI Fluid Systems	12.7x	21.4%	UK£951.8m
7261 Mazda Motor	5.1x	8.4%	JP¥683.0b
7202 Isuzu Motors	10x	6.1%	JP¥1.6t
VOLCBS Volvo Car AB (publ.)	4.3x	13.0%	SEK 69.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOLCBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.3x) compared to the peer average (8.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOLCBS's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOLCBS is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (4.3x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (16.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOLCBS's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOLCBS PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	4.3x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VOLCBS's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOLCBS forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	SEK 23.68	SEK 25.50 +7.7%	19.5%	SEK 36.00	SEK 20.00	n/a	10
Dec ’25	SEK 23.20	SEK 25.50 +9.9%	19.5%	SEK 36.00	SEK 20.00	n/a	10
Nov ’25	SEK 23.17	SEK 27.30 +17.9%	24.5%	SEK 37.00	SEK 20.00	n/a	10
Oct ’25	SEK 28.85	SEK 33.80 +17.2%	15.7%	SEK 43.00	SEK 26.00	n/a	10
Sep ’25	n/a	SEK 35.60 0%	12.4%	SEK 43.00	SEK 28.00	n/a	10
Aug ’25	n/a	SEK 36.10 0%	14.2%	SEK 45.00	SEK 28.00	n/a	10
Jul ’25	SEK 33.27	SEK 38.30 +15.1%	13.1%	SEK 48.00	SEK 32.00	n/a	10
Jun ’25	n/a	SEK 39.18 0%	13.1%	SEK 48.00	SEK 32.00	n/a	11
May ’25	n/a	SEK 39.18 0%	13.1%	SEK 48.00	SEK 32.00	n/a	11
Apr ’25	n/a	SEK 37.82 0%	14.0%	SEK 48.00	SEK 29.00	n/a	11
Mar ’25	n/a	SEK 38.00 0%	14.5%	SEK 45.00	SEK 29.00	n/a	10
Feb ’25	n/a	SEK 37.22 0%	17.9%	SEK 50.00	SEK 29.00	n/a	9
Jan ’25	n/a	SEK 41.44 0%	21.0%	SEK 57.00	SEK 32.00	SEK 23.97	9
Dec ’24	SEK 34.08	SEK 43.11 +26.5%	20.4%	SEK 57.00	SEK 33.00	SEK 23.20	9
Nov ’24	n/a	SEK 44.89 0%	19.2%	SEK 57.00	SEK 33.00	SEK 23.17	9
Oct ’24	n/a	SEK 46.44 0%	16.6%	SEK 57.00	SEK 34.00	SEK 28.85	9
Sep ’24	SEK 42.44	SEK 47.89 +12.8%	17.6%	SEK 63.00	SEK 34.00	n/a	9
Aug ’24	n/a	SEK 47.44 0%	18.2%	SEK 63.00	SEK 34.00	n/a	9
Jul ’24	SEK 42.77	SEK 41.67 -2.6%	15.3%	SEK 50.00	SEK 31.00	SEK 33.27	9
Jun ’24	SEK 37.55	SEK 41.67 +11.0%	15.3%	SEK 50.00	SEK 31.00	n/a	9
May ’24	SEK 39.90	SEK 43.22 +8.3%	15.6%	SEK 52.00	SEK 31.00	n/a	9
Apr ’24	n/a	SEK 48.44 0%	15.3%	SEK 60.00	SEK 36.00	n/a	9
Mar ’24	SEK 48.94	SEK 49.11 +0.4%	14.8%	SEK 60.00	SEK 38.00	n/a	9
Feb ’24	SEK 50.82	SEK 49.72 -2.2%	14.9%	SEK 60.00	SEK 38.00	n/a	9
Jan ’24	SEK 48.13	SEK 49.67 +3.2%	17.3%	SEK 60.00	SEK 35.00	n/a	9

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/01/05 10:50
End of Day Share Price	2025/01/02 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Volvo Car AB (publ.) is covered by 14 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Stuart Pearson	BNP Paribas Exane
Hanna Dorothee Cresswell	BNP Paribas Exane
Lena Osterberg	Carnegie Investment Bank AB