Tesla Valuation

Is TL0D undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TL0D when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TL0D (€160.02) is trading above our estimate of fair value (€77.42)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TL0D is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TL0D?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

TL0D key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue5.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA42.5x
PEG Ratio3.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TL0D's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TL0D vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.2x
7203 Toyota Motor
9x-1.4%JP¥44.4t
STLAM Stellantis
4.2x-5.1%€78.0b
19.7x14.5%HK$690.1b
RACE Ferrari
51.7x8.0%US$72.9b
TL0D Tesla
39.4x12.4%€537.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TL0D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the peer average (10.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TL0D's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Auto Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.9%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a2.9%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TL0D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the Global Auto industry average (15.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TL0D's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TL0D PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio39.4x
Fair PE Ratio27.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: TL0D is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (39.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TL0D forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current€160.02
€169.14
+5.7%
28.4%€288.52€79.11n/a41
May ’25€173.12
€170.36
-1.6%
28.1%€290.41€79.63n/a42
Apr ’25€167.00
€184.83
+10.7%
28.9%€296.64€78.80n/a40
Mar ’25€185.00
€195.79
+5.8%
26.5%€318.37€78.44n/a39
Feb ’25€178.02
€199.88
+12.3%
26.9%€317.40€78.20n/a38
Jan ’25€231.75
€215.50
-7.0%
28.5%€345.38€77.26n/a36
Dec ’24€216.55
€216.00
-0.3%
28.2%€347.24€77.67n/a36
Nov ’24€190.72
€225.90
+18.4%
27.9%€359.94€80.51n/a36
Oct ’24€226.85
€239.67
+5.6%
30.2%€378.48€80.43n/a36
Sep ’24€229.55
€226.26
-1.4%
29.1%€318.05€77.24n/a36
Aug ’24€242.90
€222.34
-8.5%
29.8%€317.49€77.10n/a35
Jul ’24n/a
€190.78
0%
30.3%€307.20€77.95n/a35
Jun ’24n/a
€174.00
0%
25.8%€277.68€78.68n/a35
May ’24n/a
€170.73
0%
26.1%€273.45€77.48€173.1234
Apr ’24n/a
€189.24
0%
27.0%€295.01€78.36€167.0033
Mar ’24n/a
€189.69
0%
27.9%€303.33€80.57€185.0034
Feb ’24n/a
€175.55
0%
29.9%€295.01€78.36€178.0233
Jan ’24n/a
€234.12
0%
34.4%€496.44€80.12€231.7530
Dec ’23n/a
€265.94
0%
31.7%€503.50€80.75€216.5532
Nov ’23n/a
€279.32
0%
31.8%€525.71€84.31€190.7232
Oct ’23n/a
€316.71
0%
31.2%€544.42€85.60€226.8534
Sep ’23n/a
€307.83
0%
31.6%€532.86€83.78€229.5533
Aug ’23n/a
€297.85
0%
32.1%€516.98€81.80€242.9033
Jul ’23n/a
€291.14
0%
35.3%€513.11€79.18n/a34
Jun ’23n/a
€292.52
0%
36.9%€503.12€77.64n/a35
May ’23n/a
€309.41
0%
36.9%€500.26€77.20n/a34

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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