Rivian Automotive, Inc.

BATS-CHIXE:1RIVNM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$18.2b

Rivian Automotive Valuation

Is 1RIVNM undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1RIVNM when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

US$1.85
Fair Value
569.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 1RIVNM ($12.39) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($1.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 1RIVNM is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1RIVNM?

Key metric: As 1RIVNM is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 1RIVNM. This is calculated by dividing 1RIVNM's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 1RIVNM's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio3.1x
SalesUS$5.84b
Market CapUS$18.22b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 1RIVNM's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 1RIVNM vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1x
AML Aston Martin Lagonda Global Holdings
0.5x14.58%UK£623.7m
XPEV XPeng
2x22.05%US$19.4b
LI Li Auto
0.9x15.49%US$18.2b
9973 Chery Automobile
0.5x8.52%HK$175.8b
1RIVNM Rivian Automotive
3.1x35.17%US$18.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 1RIVNM is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the peer average (1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 1RIVNM's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Auto Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No. of Companies6PS00.40.81.21.62+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 1RIVNM is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (3.1x) compared to the European Auto industry average (0.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1RIVNM's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1RIVNM PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio3.1x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 1RIVNM's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1RIVNM forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$12.39
US$14.83
+19.72%
23.00%US$25.00US$10.00n/a24
Nov ’26n/a
US$14.35
0%
18.79%US$21.00US$10.00n/a23
Oct ’26n/a
US$14.26
0%
18.75%US$21.00US$9.00n/a23
Sep ’26n/a
US$13.87
0%
21.32%US$21.00US$7.55n/a25
Aug ’26n/a
US$14.73
0%
21.84%US$23.00US$7.05n/a25
Jul ’26n/a
US$14.88
0%
21.02%US$23.00US$7.05n/a27
Jun ’26n/a
US$14.73
0%
21.44%US$23.00US$7.05n/a27
May ’26n/a
US$14.26
0%
23.60%US$23.00US$6.10n/a28
Apr ’26n/a
US$14.67
0%
21.60%US$23.00US$6.10n/a28
Mar ’26n/a
US$14.96
0%
21.94%US$23.00US$6.10n/a27
Feb ’26n/a
US$14.82
0%
23.44%US$23.00US$6.10n/a28
Jan ’26n/a
US$15.03
0%
22.11%US$23.00US$11.00n/a27
Dec ’25n/a
US$14.96
0%
22.80%US$23.00US$11.00n/a26
Nov ’25n/a
US$16.42
0%
25.56%US$28.00US$11.00n/a26
Oct ’25n/a
US$17.53
0%
20.88%US$30.00US$13.00n/a26
Sep ’25n/a
US$17.27
0%
22.75%US$30.00US$10.00n/a26
Aug ’25n/a
US$17.70
0%
23.08%US$30.00US$10.00n/a26
Jul ’25n/a
US$17.56
0%
33.30%US$36.00US$10.00n/a27
Jun ’25n/a
US$15.12
0%
38.06%US$36.00US$10.00n/a25
May ’25n/a
US$16.43
0%
36.38%US$36.00US$9.00n/a27
Apr ’25n/a
US$17.84
0%
32.91%US$36.00US$9.00n/a27
Mar ’25n/a
US$18.42
0%
32.83%US$36.00US$8.00n/a26
Feb ’25n/a
US$24.96
0%
24.16%US$40.00US$15.00n/a24
Jan ’25n/a
US$26.19
0%
21.83%US$40.00US$15.00n/a26
Dec ’24n/a
US$26.56
0%
21.11%US$40.00US$15.00n/a25
Nov ’24n/a
US$28.17
0%
22.56%US$44.00US$15.00n/a24
US$12.37
Fair Value
0.2% overvalued intrinsic discount
24
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/11/23 06:05
End of Day Share Price 2025/11/21 00:00
Earnings2025/09/30
Annual Earnings2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Rivian Automotive, Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Benjamin KalloBaird
George GianarikasBaird
Michael LeggBenchmark Company