Stock Analysis

Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's (EPA:ELEC) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

ENXTPA:ELEC
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Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's (EPA:ELEC) shareholders over the last week. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

See our latest analysis for Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:ELEC Earnings and Revenue History August 7th 2021

A Closer Look At Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to June 2021, Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme recorded an accrual ratio of -0.13. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. To wit, it produced free cash flow of €72m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of €43.4m. Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. The accrual ratio is reflecting the impact of unusual items on statutory profit, at least in part.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's profit was reduced by unusual items worth €31m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. While deductions due to unusual items are disappointing in the first instance, there is a silver lining. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's Profit Performance

In conclusion, both Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. Based on these factors, we think Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's earnings potential is at least as good as it seems, and maybe even better! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme at this point in time. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme (1 is a bit concerning!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

After our examination into the nature of Électricite de Strasbourg Société Anonyme's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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