Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Cogelec SA (EPA:ALLEC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Cogelec
How Much Debt Does Cogelec Carry?
As you can see below, at the end of June 2020, Cogelec had €6.67m of debt, up from €4.31m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has €13.1m in cash, leading to a €6.40m net cash position.
How Healthy Is Cogelec's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Cogelec had liabilities of €15.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of €29.8m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had €13.1m in cash and €9.54m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling €23.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
This deficit isn't so bad because Cogelec is worth €62.2m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Cogelec boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Cogelec can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, Cogelec reported revenue of €39m, which is a gain of 4.8%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
So How Risky Is Cogelec?
Statistically speaking companies that lose money are riskier than those that make money. And the fact is that over the last twelve months Cogelec lost money at the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) line. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of €1.2m and booked a €3.3m accounting loss. Given it only has net cash of €6.40m, the company may need to raise more capital if it doesn't reach break-even soon. Summing up, we're a little skeptical of this one, as it seems fairly risky in the absence of free cashflow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Cogelec you should know about.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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About ENXTPA:ALLEC
Cogelec
Designs, manufactures, and sells access control and wireless intercom systems in France and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.