Stock Analysis

Egide S.A.'s (EPA:ALGID) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 30%

ENXTPA:ALGID
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Egide S.A. (EPA:ALGID) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Egide's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Electronic industry in France, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Egide

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALGID Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 15th 2024

How Egide Has Been Performing

Egide could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S ratio from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Egide.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Egide?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Egide's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.4% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 22% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 1.3% each year as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 9.9% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Egide's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Following Egide's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

When you consider that Egide's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Egide (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Egide might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.