Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Visiativ SA's (EPA:ALVIV) Muted Earnings Despite A 26% Share Price Rise

ENXTPA:ALVIV
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Those holding Visiativ SA (EPA:ALVIV) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 26% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.7% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Visiativ may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.2x, since almost half of all companies in France have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 28x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Visiativ has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Visiativ

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ENXTPA:ALVIV Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry December 21st 2023
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Visiativ.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

Visiativ's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 33%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 538% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 0.6% per year during the coming three years according to the three analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Visiativ's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Visiativ's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Visiativ's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Visiativ (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Visiativ. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.