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Positive Sentiment Still Eludes Kalray S.A. (EPA:ALKAL) Following 25% Share Price Slump
Kalray S.A. (EPA:ALKAL) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 25% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 49% in that time.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Kalray's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in France, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Kalray
What Does Kalray's Recent Performance Look Like?
Kalray certainly has been doing a good job lately as its revenue growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their revenue go backwards. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think the company's revenue will be less resilient moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Kalray's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Kalray's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Kalray's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 30% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 25% per annum over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 6.1% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Kalray is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Kalray's P/S?
Kalray's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Kalray's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Kalray that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Kalray, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kalray might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ENXTPA:ALKAL
Moderate and fair value.