Stock Analysis

We're Not Counting On Groupe LDLC société anonyme (EPA:ALLDL) To Sustain Its Statutory Profitability

ENXTPA:ALLDL
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Many investors consider it preferable to invest in profitable companies over unprofitable ones, because profitability suggests a business is sustainable. That said, the current statutory profit is not always a good guide to a company's underlying profitability. In this article, we'll look at how useful this year's statutory profit is, when analysing Groupe LDLC société anonyme (EPA:ALLDL).

It's good to see that over the last twelve months Groupe LDLC société anonyme made a profit of €15.2m on revenue of €585.7m.

See our latest analysis for Groupe LDLC société anonyme

earnings-and-revenue-history
ENXTPA:ALLDL Earnings and Revenue History January 12th 2021

Not all profits are equal, and we can learn more about the nature of a company's past profitability by diving deeper into the financial statements. So today we'll look at what Groupe LDLC société anonyme's cashflow tells us about the quality of its earnings. That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Zooming In On Groupe LDLC société anonyme's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Over the twelve months to September 2020, Groupe LDLC société anonyme recorded an accrual ratio of 0.34. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow was a lot less than its statutory profit, which makes us doubt the utility of profit as a guide. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of €8.8m despite its profit of €15.2m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of €8.8m, this year, indicates high risk.

Our Take On Groupe LDLC société anonyme's Profit Performance

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Groupe LDLC société anonyme didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Groupe LDLC société anonyme's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. The good news is that it earned a profit in the last twelve months, despite its previous loss. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Groupe LDLC société anonyme (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Groupe LDLC société anonyme's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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